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43 posts
Planning & Decision-Making
Planning Fallacy
Time (value of)
Bayesian Decision Theory
Tradeoffs
Analogy
13 posts
Hamming Questions
Value of Information
350
Leaky Delegation: You are not a Commodity
Darmani
1y
34
115
Chapter 6: The Planning Fallacy
Eliezer Yudkowsky
7y
3
12
In Search of Strategic Clarity
james.lucassen
5mo
1
25
Stabilize-Reflect-Execute
ozziegooen
4y
1
23
I'm going to help you quit Facebook with some science
Elo
4y
11
39
Surface Analogies and Deep Causes
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
32
22
How to make plans?
DonyChristie
3y
4
45
Harder Choices Matter Less
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
24
55
If It’s Worth Doing, It’s Worth Doing With Made-Up Statistics
Scott Alexander
5y
0
21
Uncertainty
Vaniver
11y
16
28
Kahneman's Planning Anecdote
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
8
18
Making Exceptions to General Rules
Chris_Leong
4y
17
222
Planning Fallacy
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
45
72
Counterintuitive Comparative Advantage
Wei_Dai
4y
8
35
Choosing the right dish
Adam Zerner
1mo
7
106
Value of Information: Four Examples
Vaniver
11y
62
164
Privileging the Question
Qiaochu_Yuan
9y
312
44
Chronophone Motivations
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
17
5
How does an infovore manage information overload?
haig
13y
30
171
Crisis of Faith
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
252
24
VOI is Only Nonnegative When Information is Uncorrelated With Future Action
Diffractor
4y
2
20
Why are the people who could be doing safety research, but aren’t, doing something else?
Adam Scholl
3y
19
53
The Hamming Question
Raemon
3y
38
57
The Bus Ticket Theory of Genius
Vaniver
3y
11
118
On Doing the Impossible
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
38
119
Double-Dipping in Dunning--Kruger
isovector
4y
31
45
The Fundamental Question
MBlume
12y
289