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43 posts
Planning & Decision-Making
Planning Fallacy
Time (value of)
Bayesian Decision Theory
Tradeoffs
Analogy
13 posts
Hamming Questions
Value of Information
284
Leaky Delegation: You are not a Commodity
Darmani
1y
34
48
Chapter 6: The Planning Fallacy
Eliezer Yudkowsky
7y
3
8
In Search of Strategic Clarity
james.lucassen
5mo
1
29
Stabilize-Reflect-Execute
ozziegooen
4y
1
30
I'm going to help you quit Facebook with some science
Elo
4y
11
36
Surface Analogies and Deep Causes
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
32
23
How to make plans?
DonyChristie
3y
4
46
Harder Choices Matter Less
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
24
57
If It’s Worth Doing, It’s Worth Doing With Made-Up Statistics
Scott Alexander
5y
0
27
Uncertainty
Vaniver
11y
16
36
Kahneman's Planning Anecdote
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
8
22
Making Exceptions to General Rules
Chris_Leong
4y
17
142
Planning Fallacy
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
45
81
Counterintuitive Comparative Advantage
Wei_Dai
4y
8
37
Choosing the right dish
Adam Zerner
1mo
7
124
Value of Information: Four Examples
Vaniver
11y
62
206
Privileging the Question
Qiaochu_Yuan
9y
312
47
Chronophone Motivations
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
17
3
How does an infovore manage information overload?
haig
13y
30
139
Crisis of Faith
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
252
22
VOI is Only Nonnegative When Information is Uncorrelated With Future Action
Diffractor
4y
2
27
Why are the people who could be doing safety research, but aren’t, doing something else?
Adam Scholl
3y
19
54
The Hamming Question
Raemon
3y
38
63
The Bus Ticket Theory of Genius
Vaniver
3y
11
91
On Doing the Impossible
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
38
85
Double-Dipping in Dunning--Kruger
isovector
4y
31
55
The Fundamental Question
MBlume
12y
289