Go Back
Choose this branch
Choose this branch
meritocratic
regular
democratic
hot
top
alive
82 posts
Fallacies
Surveys
Conjunction Fallacy
Typical Mind Fallacy
Correspondence Bias
Halo Effect
Status Quo Bias
Object level and Meta level
56 posts
Planning & Decision-Making
Hamming Questions
Value of Information
Planning Fallacy
Time (value of)
Bayesian Decision Theory
Tradeoffs
Analogy
462
Generalizing From One Example
Scott Alexander
13y
416
339
The Fallacy of Gray
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
80
302
Burdensome Details
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
34
158
The Third Alternative
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
85
145
Chapter 5: The Fundamental Attribution Error
Eliezer Yudkowsky
7y
4
123
Proving Too Much
Scott Alexander
9y
2
98
2014 Survey Results
Scott Alexander
7y
283
96
2011 Survey Results
Scott Alexander
11y
516
90
2014 Less Wrong Census/Survey
Scott Alexander
8y
730
90
2012 Survey Results
Scott Alexander
10y
653
82
2022 LessWrong Census?
SurfingOrca
1mo
13
82
2013 Survey Results
Scott Alexander
8y
560
80
2013 Less Wrong Census/Survey
Scott Alexander
9y
620
78
2011 Less Wrong Census / Survey
Scott Alexander
11y
699
350
Leaky Delegation: You are not a Commodity
Darmani
1y
34
222
Planning Fallacy
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
45
205
The correct response to uncertainty is *not* half-speed
AnnaSalamon
6y
44
186
Simulate and Defer To More Rational Selves
LoganStrohl
8y
115
171
Crisis of Faith
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
252
164
Privileging the Question
Qiaochu_Yuan
9y
312
119
Double-Dipping in Dunning--Kruger
isovector
4y
31
118
On Doing the Impossible
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
38
115
Chapter 6: The Planning Fallacy
Eliezer Yudkowsky
7y
3
106
Value of Information: Four Examples
Vaniver
11y
62
104
How to Measure Anything
lukeprog
9y
52
86
How Much is Your Time Worth?
lynettebye
3y
22
72
Counterintuitive Comparative Advantage
Wei_Dai
4y
8
68
Plans are Recursive & Why This is Important
Ruby
3y
11