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alive
58 posts
Bayes' Theorem
23 posts
Probabilistic Reasoning
Radical Probabilism
ET Jaynes
Problem of Old Evidence
Reversed Stupidity Is Not Intelligence
73
A Bayesian Aggregation Paradox
Jsevillamol
1y
22
52
An Intuitive Explanation of Bayes's Theorem
Eliezer Yudkowsky
19y
8
15
"Friends do not let friends compute p values."
lukeprog
11y
4
30
Very Short Introduction to Bayesian Model Comparison
johnswentworth
3y
5
24
An Intuitive Explanation of Eliezer Yudkowsky’s Intuitive Explanation of Bayes’ Theorem
Alexandros
12y
6
30
Bayes' Theorem in three pictures
Sunny from QAD
3y
3
57
Dreams with Damaged Priors
Eliezer Yudkowsky
13y
61
82
Frequentist Statistics are Frequently Subjective
Eliezer Yudkowsky
13y
82
49
When (Not) To Use Probabilities
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
44
111
What is Bayesianism?
Kaj_Sotala
12y
217
45
Inherited Improbabilities: Transferring the Burden of Proof
komponisto
12y
58
83
Yes, Virginia, You Can Be 99.99% (Or More!) Certain That 53 Is Prime
ChrisHallquist
9y
70
164
Bayes' Theorem Illustrated (My Way)
komponisto
12y
195
22
Epsilon is not a probability, it's a cop-out
shminux
10mo
35
87
Absolute Authority
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
78
38
Five views of Bayes' Theorem
Adam Scherlis
5mo
4
77
Update Yourself Incrementally
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
29
-2
Is LessWrong dead without Cox’s theorem?
1y
88
1
Help with a derivation in chapter 18 of Jaynes PT:LoS?
alex_zag_al
9y
4
9
Jaynes-Cox Probability: Are plausibilities objective?
1y
17
9
The Logic of Science: 2.2
mpr
4y
3
4
Do Bayesians like Bayesian model Averaging?
1y
13
14
Draft of Edwin Jaynes' "Probability Theory: The Logic of Science" online, with lost chapter 30
buybuydandavis
10y
12
1
How Not to be Stupid: Adorable Maybes
Psy-Kosh
13y
55
11
Halpern’s paper - A refutation of Cox’s theorem?
1y
7
35
Don't be afraid of the thousand-year-old vampire
Ulisse Mini
8mo
3
4
Jaynesian interpretation - How does “estimating probabilities” make sense?
1y
40
8
Probability theory implies Occam's razor
Maxwell Peterson
2y
4