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58 posts
Bayes' Theorem
23 posts
Probabilistic Reasoning
Radical Probabilism
ET Jaynes
Problem of Old Evidence
Reversed Stupidity Is Not Intelligence
67
The Mountain Troll
lsusr
6mo
14
73
A Bayesian Aggregation Paradox
Jsevillamol
1y
22
22
Epsilon is not a probability, it's a cop-out
shminux
10mo
35
20
a visual explanation of Bayesian updating
Jan Christian Refsgaard
1y
7
147
Bayes for Schizophrenics: Reasoning in Delusional Disorders
Scott Alexander
10y
155
51
Kalman Filter for Bayesians
SatvikBeri
4y
6
164
Bayes' Theorem Illustrated (My Way)
komponisto
12y
195
114
What Bayesianism taught me
Tyrrell_McAllister
9y
204
36
What are principled ways for penalising complexity in practice?
Bucky
3y
12
46
Learn Bayes Nets!
abramdemski
4y
7
122
Why We Can't Take Expected Value Estimates Literally (Even When They're Unbiased)
HoldenKarnofsky
11y
252
30
Bayes' Theorem in three pictures
Sunny from QAD
3y
3
30
Very Short Introduction to Bayesian Model Comparison
johnswentworth
3y
5
91
Bayesianism for Humans
ChrisHallquist
9y
37
38
Five views of Bayes' Theorem
Adam Scherlis
5mo
4
159
Radical Probabilism
abramdemski
2y
47
35
Don't be afraid of the thousand-year-old vampire
Ulisse Mini
8mo
3
34
The Generalized Product Rule
aysajan
1y
7
11
Halpern’s paper - A refutation of Cox’s theorem?
1y
7
18
Frequentist practice incorporates prior information all the time
Maxwell Peterson
2y
0
9
Has Van Horn fixed Cox’s theorem?
1y
1
9
Jaynes-Cox Probability: Are plausibilities objective?
1y
17
87
Absolute Authority
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
78
8
Probability theory implies Occam's razor
Maxwell Peterson
2y
4
77
Update Yourself Incrementally
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
29
4
Do Bayesians like Bayesian model Averaging?
1y
13
4
Jaynesian interpretation - How does “estimating probabilities” make sense?
1y
40
25
Reversed stupidity sometimes provides useful information
Scott Alexander
11y
13