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58 posts
Bayes' Theorem
23 posts
Probabilistic Reasoning
Radical Probabilism
ET Jaynes
Problem of Old Evidence
Reversed Stupidity Is Not Intelligence
71
The Mountain Troll
lsusr
6mo
14
78
A Bayesian Aggregation Paradox
Jsevillamol
1y
22
31
Epsilon is not a probability, it's a cop-out
shminux
10mo
35
174
Bayes for Schizophrenics: Reasoning in Delusional Disorders
Scott Alexander
10y
155
146
What Bayesianism taught me
Tyrrell_McAllister
9y
204
173
Bayes' Theorem Illustrated (My Way)
komponisto
12y
195
56
Learn Bayes Nets!
abramdemski
4y
7
39
What are principled ways for penalising complexity in practice?
Bucky
3y
12
110
Bayesianism for Humans
ChrisHallquist
9y
37
120
Against NHST
gwern
10y
64
135
Why We Can't Take Expected Value Estimates Literally (Even When They're Unbiased)
HoldenKarnofsky
11y
252
99
Yes, Virginia, You Can Be 99.99% (Or More!) Certain That 53 Is Prime
ChrisHallquist
9y
70
94
A Fervent Defense of Frequentist Statistics
jsteinhardt
8y
129
83
Bayes Academy: Development report 1
Kaj_Sotala
8y
28
45
Five views of Bayes' Theorem
Adam Scherlis
5mo
4
43
Don't be afraid of the thousand-year-old vampire
Ulisse Mini
8mo
3
155
Radical Probabilism
abramdemski
2y
47
34
The Generalized Product Rule
aysajan
1y
7
9
Has Van Horn fixed Cox’s theorem?
1y
1
15
Frequentist practice incorporates prior information all the time
Maxwell Peterson
2y
0
7
Halpern’s paper - A refutation of Cox’s theorem?
1y
7
5
Do Bayesians like Bayesian model Averaging?
1y
13
75
Absolute Authority
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
78
7
Probability theory implies Occam's razor
Maxwell Peterson
2y
4
57
Update Yourself Incrementally
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
29
32
Reversed stupidity sometimes provides useful information
Scott Alexander
11y
13
11
The Logic of Science: 2.2
mpr
4y
3
24
E.T. Jaynes and Hugh Everett - includes a previously unpublished review by Jaynes of a published short version of Everett's dissertation
buybuydandavis
10y
10