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81 posts
Bayes' Theorem
Probabilistic Reasoning
ET Jaynes
Radical Probabilism
Reversed Stupidity Is Not Intelligence
Problem of Old Evidence
35 posts
Logical Induction
Logical Uncertainty
71
The Mountain Troll
lsusr
6mo
14
45
Five views of Bayes' Theorem
Adam Scherlis
5mo
4
78
A Bayesian Aggregation Paradox
Jsevillamol
1y
22
43
Don't be afraid of the thousand-year-old vampire
Ulisse Mini
8mo
3
155
Radical Probabilism
abramdemski
2y
47
31
Epsilon is not a probability, it's a cop-out
shminux
10mo
35
34
The Generalized Product Rule
aysajan
1y
7
174
Bayes for Schizophrenics: Reasoning in Delusional Disorders
Scott Alexander
10y
155
146
What Bayesianism taught me
Tyrrell_McAllister
9y
204
173
Bayes' Theorem Illustrated (My Way)
komponisto
12y
195
56
Learn Bayes Nets!
abramdemski
4y
7
39
What are principled ways for penalising complexity in practice?
Bucky
3y
12
110
Bayesianism for Humans
ChrisHallquist
9y
37
120
Against NHST
gwern
10y
64
108
Logical induction for software engineers
Alex Flint
17d
2
128
An Intuitive Guide to Garrabrant Induction
Mark Xu
1y
18
156
An Untrollable Mathematician Illustrated
abramdemski
4y
38
69
What Would I Do? Self-prediction in Simple Algorithms
Scott Garrabrant
2y
13
59
Radical Probabilism [Transcript]
abramdemski
2y
12
81
Markets are Universal for Logical Induction
johnswentworth
3y
0
93
Bayesian Probability is for things that are Space-like Separated from You
Scott Garrabrant
4y
22
85
In Logical Time, All Games are Iterated Games
abramdemski
4y
8
77
History of the Development of Logical Induction
Scott Garrabrant
4y
4
86
Toward a New Technical Explanation of Technical Explanation
abramdemski
4y
36
42
Computerphile discusses MIRI's "Logical Induction" paper
Parth Athley
4y
2
33
Logical uncertainty and Mathematical uncertainty
AlexMennen
4y
6
22
Bounded Oracle Induction
Diffractor
4y
0
42
Applications of logical uncertainty
alex_zag_al
8y
19