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81 posts
Bayes' Theorem
Probabilistic Reasoning
ET Jaynes
Radical Probabilism
Reversed Stupidity Is Not Intelligence
Problem of Old Evidence
35 posts
Logical Induction
Logical Uncertainty
75
Absolute Authority
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
78
45
Five views of Bayes' Theorem
Adam Scherlis
5mo
4
78
A Bayesian Aggregation Paradox
Jsevillamol
1y
22
39
An Intuitive Explanation of Bayes's Theorem
Eliezer Yudkowsky
19y
8
22
"Friends do not let friends compute p values."
lukeprog
11y
4
26
Very Short Introduction to Bayesian Model Comparison
johnswentworth
3y
5
57
Update Yourself Incrementally
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
29
30
An Intuitive Explanation of Eliezer Yudkowsky’s Intuitive Explanation of Bayes’ Theorem
Alexandros
12y
6
-6
Is LessWrong dead without Cox’s theorem?
1y
88
27
Bayes' Theorem in three pictures
Sunny from QAD
3y
3
1
Help with a derivation in chapter 18 of Jaynes PT:LoS?
alex_zag_al
9y
4
64
Dreams with Damaged Priors
Eliezer Yudkowsky
13y
61
86
Frequentist Statistics are Frequently Subjective
Eliezer Yudkowsky
13y
82
43
When (Not) To Use Probabilities
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
44
108
Logical induction for software engineers
Alex Flint
17d
2
18
Asymptotic Logical Uncertainty: Concrete Failure of the Solomonoff Approach
Scott Garrabrant
7y
0
5
Logical Inductors that trust their limits
Scott Garrabrant
6y
0
5
The set of Logical Inductors is not Convex
Scott Garrabrant
6y
0
4
A measure-theoretic generalization of logical induction
Vanessa Kosoy
5y
0
19
Two Major Obstacles for Logical Inductor Decision Theory
Scott Garrabrant
5y
0
5
Logical Induction with incomputable sequences
AlexMennen
5y
0
4
Logical Uncertainty as Probability
gRR
10y
22
156
An Untrollable Mathematician Illustrated
abramdemski
4y
38
20
Using the universal prior for logical uncertainty (retracted)
cousin_it
4y
13
93
Bayesian Probability is for things that are Space-like Separated from You
Scott Garrabrant
4y
22
5
Optimizing arbitrary expressions with a linear number of queries to a Logical Induction Oracle (Cartoon Guide)
Donald Hobson
2y
2
21
Drawing Two Aces
Eliezer Yudkowsky
12y
93
32
Metauncertainty
jimmy
13y
4