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81 posts
Bayes' Theorem
Probabilistic Reasoning
ET Jaynes
Radical Probabilism
Reversed Stupidity Is Not Intelligence
Problem of Old Evidence
35 posts
Logical Induction
Logical Uncertainty
174
Bayes for Schizophrenics: Reasoning in Delusional Disorders
Scott Alexander
10y
155
173
Bayes' Theorem Illustrated (My Way)
komponisto
12y
195
155
Radical Probabilism
abramdemski
2y
47
146
What Bayesianism taught me
Tyrrell_McAllister
9y
204
135
Why We Can't Take Expected Value Estimates Literally (Even When They're Unbiased)
HoldenKarnofsky
11y
252
120
Against NHST
gwern
10y
64
110
Bayesianism for Humans
ChrisHallquist
9y
37
102
What is Bayesianism?
Kaj_Sotala
12y
217
99
Yes, Virginia, You Can Be 99.99% (Or More!) Certain That 53 Is Prime
ChrisHallquist
9y
70
94
A Fervent Defense of Frequentist Statistics
jsteinhardt
8y
129
86
Frequentist Statistics are Frequently Subjective
Eliezer Yudkowsky
13y
82
83
Bayes Academy: Development report 1
Kaj_Sotala
8y
28
82
The Joys of Conjugate Priors
TCB
11y
24
79
Beautiful Probability
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
122
156
An Untrollable Mathematician Illustrated
abramdemski
4y
38
128
An Intuitive Guide to Garrabrant Induction
Mark Xu
1y
18
108
Logical induction for software engineers
Alex Flint
17d
2
93
Bayesian Probability is for things that are Space-like Separated from You
Scott Garrabrant
4y
22
86
Toward a New Technical Explanation of Technical Explanation
abramdemski
4y
36
85
In Logical Time, All Games are Iterated Games
abramdemski
4y
8
81
Markets are Universal for Logical Induction
johnswentworth
3y
0
77
History of the Development of Logical Induction
Scott Garrabrant
4y
4
69
What Would I Do? Self-prediction in Simple Algorithms
Scott Garrabrant
2y
13
59
Radical Probabilism [Transcript]
abramdemski
2y
12
48
Probabilistic Löb theorem
Stuart_Armstrong
9y
40
42
Applications of logical uncertainty
alex_zag_al
8y
19
42
Computerphile discusses MIRI's "Logical Induction" paper
Parth Athley
4y
2
38
Logical uncertainty reading list
alex_zag_al
8y
4