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267 posts
Logic & Mathematics
Probability & Statistics
Abstraction
Causality
Fermi Estimation
Gödelian Logic
Finite Factored Sets
Open Problems
Category Theory
Timeless Physics
Reflective Reasoning
Tensor Networks
116 posts
Bayes' Theorem
Logical Induction
Logical Uncertainty
Radical Probabilism
Probabilistic Reasoning
ET Jaynes
Problem of Old Evidence
Reversed Stupidity Is Not Intelligence
313
Why the tails come apart
Thrasymachus
8y
100
143
Reflection in Probabilistic Logic
Eliezer Yudkowsky
9y
172
139
Causal Universes
Eliezer Yudkowsky
10y
393
131
Mental Context for Model Theory
So8res
9y
47
131
Causality: a chapter by chapter review
Vaniver
10y
20
129
Should correlation coefficients be expressed as angles?
Sniffnoy
10y
25
127
Logical Pinpointing
Eliezer Yudkowsky
10y
344
124
Finite Factored Sets
Scott Garrabrant
1y
94
123
How long does it take to become Gaussian?
Maxwell Peterson
2y
38
121
Causal Diagrams and Causal Models
Eliezer Yudkowsky
10y
284
120
The Tails Coming Apart As Metaphor For Life
Scott Alexander
4y
37
119
Simpson's Paradox
bentarm
11y
58
115
Finite Factored Sets in Pictures
Magdalena Wache
9d
29
109
Fermi Estimates
lukeprog
9y
110
174
Bayes for Schizophrenics: Reasoning in Delusional Disorders
Scott Alexander
10y
155
173
Bayes' Theorem Illustrated (My Way)
komponisto
12y
195
156
An Untrollable Mathematician Illustrated
abramdemski
4y
38
155
Radical Probabilism
abramdemski
2y
47
146
What Bayesianism taught me
Tyrrell_McAllister
9y
204
135
Why We Can't Take Expected Value Estimates Literally (Even When They're Unbiased)
HoldenKarnofsky
11y
252
128
An Intuitive Guide to Garrabrant Induction
Mark Xu
1y
18
120
Against NHST
gwern
10y
64
110
Bayesianism for Humans
ChrisHallquist
9y
37
108
Logical induction for software engineers
Alex Flint
17d
2
102
What is Bayesianism?
Kaj_Sotala
12y
217
99
Yes, Virginia, You Can Be 99.99% (Or More!) Certain That 53 Is Prime
ChrisHallquist
9y
70
94
A Fervent Defense of Frequentist Statistics
jsteinhardt
8y
129
93
Bayesian Probability is for things that are Space-like Separated from You
Scott Garrabrant
4y
22