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267 posts
Logic & Mathematics
Probability & Statistics
Abstraction
Causality
Fermi Estimation
Gödelian Logic
Finite Factored Sets
Open Problems
Category Theory
Timeless Physics
Reflective Reasoning
Tensor Networks
116 posts
Bayes' Theorem
Logical Induction
Logical Uncertainty
Radical Probabilism
Probabilistic Reasoning
ET Jaynes
Problem of Old Evidence
Reversed Stupidity Is Not Intelligence
115
Finite Factored Sets in Pictures
Magdalena Wache
9d
29
50
Formalization as suspension of intuition
adamShimi
9d
18
5
Slick hyperfinite Ramsey theory proof
Alok Singh
1d
2
46
Open technical problem: A Quinean proof of Löb's theorem, for an easier cartoon guide
Andrew_Critch
26d
34
25
Brun's theorem and sieve theory
Ege Erdil
18d
0
29
Why square errors?
Aprillion (Peter Hozák)
24d
10
88
Six (and a half) intuitions for KL divergence
TheMcDouglas
2mo
16
38
Counterfactability
Scott Garrabrant
1mo
4
33
For ELK truth is mostly a distraction
c.trout
1mo
0
16
The highest-probability outcome can be out of distribution
tailcalled
1mo
5
67
Report likelihood ratios
Ege Erdil
8mo
9
1
Meaningful things are those the universe possesses a semantics for
Abhimanyu Pallavi Sudhir
8d
14
32
Examples of practical implications of Judea Pearl's Causality work
ChristianKl
5mo
6
124
Finite Factored Sets
Scott Garrabrant
1y
94
108
Logical induction for software engineers
Alex Flint
17d
2
71
The Mountain Troll
lsusr
6mo
14
45
Five views of Bayes' Theorem
Adam Scherlis
5mo
4
128
An Intuitive Guide to Garrabrant Induction
Mark Xu
1y
18
78
A Bayesian Aggregation Paradox
Jsevillamol
1y
22
43
Don't be afraid of the thousand-year-old vampire
Ulisse Mini
8mo
3
155
Radical Probabilism
abramdemski
2y
47
31
Epsilon is not a probability, it's a cop-out
shminux
10mo
35
156
An Untrollable Mathematician Illustrated
abramdemski
4y
38
69
What Would I Do? Self-prediction in Simple Algorithms
Scott Garrabrant
2y
13
34
The Generalized Product Rule
aysajan
1y
7
59
Radical Probabilism [Transcript]
abramdemski
2y
12
81
Markets are Universal for Logical Induction
johnswentworth
3y
0
93
Bayesian Probability is for things that are Space-like Separated from You
Scott Garrabrant
4y
22