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267 posts
Logic & Mathematics
Probability & Statistics
Abstraction
Causality
Fermi Estimation
Gödelian Logic
Finite Factored Sets
Open Problems
Category Theory
Timeless Physics
Reflective Reasoning
Tensor Networks
116 posts
Bayes' Theorem
Logical Induction
Logical Uncertainty
Radical Probabilism
Probabilistic Reasoning
ET Jaynes
Problem of Old Evidence
Reversed Stupidity Is Not Intelligence
181
Finite Factored Sets in Pictures
Magdalena Wache
9d
29
11
Slick hyperfinite Ramsey theory proof
Alok Singh
1d
2
58
Formalization as suspension of intuition
adamShimi
9d
18
51
Why square errors?
Aprillion (Peter Hozák)
24d
10
13
Meaningful things are those the universe possesses a semantics for
Abhimanyu Pallavi Sudhir
8d
14
140
Six (and a half) intuitions for KL divergence
TheMcDouglas
2mo
16
40
Open technical problem: A Quinean proof of Löb's theorem, for an easier cartoon guide
Andrew_Critch
26d
34
23
Brun's theorem and sieve theory
Ege Erdil
18d
0
34
Counterfactability
Scott Garrabrant
1mo
4
31
For ELK truth is mostly a distraction
c.trout
1mo
0
93
Report likelihood ratios
Ege Erdil
8mo
9
50
A Butterfly's View of Probability
Gabriel Wu
6mo
17
150
Finite Factored Sets
Scott Garrabrant
1y
94
109
[Book review] Gödel, Escher, Bach: an in-depth explainer
Sam Marks
1y
20
140
Logical induction for software engineers
Alex Flint
17d
2
63
The Mountain Troll
lsusr
6mo
14
31
Five views of Bayes' Theorem
Adam Scherlis
5mo
4
68
A Bayesian Aggregation Paradox
Jsevillamol
1y
22
102
An Intuitive Guide to Garrabrant Induction
Mark Xu
1y
18
163
Radical Probabilism
abramdemski
2y
47
27
Don't be afraid of the thousand-year-old vampire
Ulisse Mini
8mo
3
154
An Untrollable Mathematician Illustrated
abramdemski
4y
38
34
The Generalized Product Rule
aysajan
1y
7
101
History of the Development of Logical Induction
Scott Garrabrant
4y
4
65
Markets are Universal for Logical Induction
johnswentworth
3y
0
28
a visual explanation of Bayesian updating
Jan Christian Refsgaard
1y
7
85
In Logical Time, All Games are Iterated Games
abramdemski
4y
8
13
Epsilon is not a probability, it's a cop-out
shminux
10mo
35