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267 posts
Logic & Mathematics
Probability & Statistics
Abstraction
Causality
Fermi Estimation
Gödelian Logic
Finite Factored Sets
Open Problems
Category Theory
Timeless Physics
Reflective Reasoning
Tensor Networks
116 posts
Bayes' Theorem
Logical Induction
Logical Uncertainty
Radical Probabilism
Probabilistic Reasoning
ET Jaynes
Problem of Old Evidence
Reversed Stupidity Is Not Intelligence
148
Finite Factored Sets in Pictures
Magdalena Wache
9d
29
8
Slick hyperfinite Ramsey theory proof
Alok Singh
1d
2
54
Formalization as suspension of intuition
adamShimi
9d
18
40
Why square errors?
Aprillion (Peter Hozák)
24d
10
43
Open technical problem: A Quinean proof of Löb's theorem, for an easier cartoon guide
Andrew_Critch
26d
34
114
Six (and a half) intuitions for KL divergence
TheMcDouglas
2mo
16
24
Brun's theorem and sieve theory
Ege Erdil
18d
0
7
Meaningful things are those the universe possesses a semantics for
Abhimanyu Pallavi Sudhir
8d
14
36
Counterfactability
Scott Garrabrant
1mo
4
32
For ELK truth is mostly a distraction
c.trout
1mo
0
80
Report likelihood ratios
Ege Erdil
8mo
9
13
The highest-probability outcome can be out of distribution
tailcalled
1mo
5
137
Finite Factored Sets
Scott Garrabrant
1y
94
89
[Book review] Gödel, Escher, Bach: an in-depth explainer
Sam Marks
1y
20
124
Logical induction for software engineers
Alex Flint
17d
2
67
The Mountain Troll
lsusr
6mo
14
38
Five views of Bayes' Theorem
Adam Scherlis
5mo
4
115
An Intuitive Guide to Garrabrant Induction
Mark Xu
1y
18
73
A Bayesian Aggregation Paradox
Jsevillamol
1y
22
159
Radical Probabilism
abramdemski
2y
47
35
Don't be afraid of the thousand-year-old vampire
Ulisse Mini
8mo
3
22
Epsilon is not a probability, it's a cop-out
shminux
10mo
35
155
An Untrollable Mathematician Illustrated
abramdemski
4y
38
34
The Generalized Product Rule
aysajan
1y
7
54
What Would I Do? Self-prediction in Simple Algorithms
Scott Garrabrant
2y
13
73
Markets are Universal for Logical Induction
johnswentworth
3y
0
89
History of the Development of Logical Induction
Scott Garrabrant
4y
4
46
Radical Probabilism [Transcript]
abramdemski
2y
12