Go Back
Choose this branch
Choose this branch
meritocratic
regular
democratic
hot
top
alive
81 posts
Bayes' Theorem
Probabilistic Reasoning
ET Jaynes
Radical Probabilism
Reversed Stupidity Is Not Intelligence
Problem of Old Evidence
35 posts
Logical Induction
Logical Uncertainty
67
The Mountain Troll
lsusr
6mo
14
38
Five views of Bayes' Theorem
Adam Scherlis
5mo
4
73
A Bayesian Aggregation Paradox
Jsevillamol
1y
22
159
Radical Probabilism
abramdemski
2y
47
35
Don't be afraid of the thousand-year-old vampire
Ulisse Mini
8mo
3
22
Epsilon is not a probability, it's a cop-out
shminux
10mo
35
34
The Generalized Product Rule
aysajan
1y
7
20
a visual explanation of Bayesian updating
Jan Christian Refsgaard
1y
7
147
Bayes for Schizophrenics: Reasoning in Delusional Disorders
Scott Alexander
10y
155
51
Kalman Filter for Bayesians
SatvikBeri
4y
6
164
Bayes' Theorem Illustrated (My Way)
komponisto
12y
195
114
What Bayesianism taught me
Tyrrell_McAllister
9y
204
36
What are principled ways for penalising complexity in practice?
Bucky
3y
12
11
Halpern’s paper - A refutation of Cox’s theorem?
1y
7
124
Logical induction for software engineers
Alex Flint
17d
2
115
An Intuitive Guide to Garrabrant Induction
Mark Xu
1y
18
155
An Untrollable Mathematician Illustrated
abramdemski
4y
38
54
What Would I Do? Self-prediction in Simple Algorithms
Scott Garrabrant
2y
13
73
Markets are Universal for Logical Induction
johnswentworth
3y
0
89
History of the Development of Logical Induction
Scott Garrabrant
4y
4
46
Radical Probabilism [Transcript]
abramdemski
2y
12
85
In Logical Time, All Games are Iterated Games
abramdemski
4y
8
78
Bayesian Probability is for things that are Space-like Separated from You
Scott Garrabrant
4y
22
84
Toward a New Technical Explanation of Technical Explanation
abramdemski
4y
36
43
Computerphile discusses MIRI's "Logical Induction" paper
Parth Athley
4y
2
35
Logical uncertainty and Mathematical uncertainty
AlexMennen
4y
6
6
Question/Issue with the 5/10 Problem
acgt
1y
3
25
Bounded Oracle Induction
Diffractor
4y
0