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81 posts
Bayes' Theorem
Probabilistic Reasoning
ET Jaynes
Radical Probabilism
Reversed Stupidity Is Not Intelligence
Problem of Old Evidence
35 posts
Logical Induction
Logical Uncertainty
63
The Mountain Troll
lsusr
6mo
14
31
Five views of Bayes' Theorem
Adam Scherlis
5mo
4
68
A Bayesian Aggregation Paradox
Jsevillamol
1y
22
163
Radical Probabilism
abramdemski
2y
47
27
Don't be afraid of the thousand-year-old vampire
Ulisse Mini
8mo
3
34
The Generalized Product Rule
aysajan
1y
7
28
a visual explanation of Bayesian updating
Jan Christian Refsgaard
1y
7
13
Epsilon is not a probability, it's a cop-out
shminux
10mo
35
66
Kalman Filter for Bayesians
SatvikBeri
4y
6
18
Jaynes-Cox Probability: Are plausibilities objective?
1y
17
15
Halpern’s paper - A refutation of Cox’s theorem?
1y
7
21
Frequentist practice incorporates prior information all the time
Maxwell Peterson
2y
0
155
Bayes' Theorem Illustrated (My Way)
komponisto
12y
195
34
Very Short Introduction to Bayesian Model Comparison
johnswentworth
3y
5
140
Logical induction for software engineers
Alex Flint
17d
2
102
An Intuitive Guide to Garrabrant Induction
Mark Xu
1y
18
154
An Untrollable Mathematician Illustrated
abramdemski
4y
38
101
History of the Development of Logical Induction
Scott Garrabrant
4y
4
65
Markets are Universal for Logical Induction
johnswentworth
3y
0
85
In Logical Time, All Games are Iterated Games
abramdemski
4y
8
39
What Would I Do? Self-prediction in Simple Algorithms
Scott Garrabrant
2y
13
82
Toward a New Technical Explanation of Technical Explanation
abramdemski
4y
36
33
Radical Probabilism [Transcript]
abramdemski
2y
12
63
Bayesian Probability is for things that are Space-like Separated from You
Scott Garrabrant
4y
22
11
Question/Issue with the 5/10 Problem
acgt
1y
3
44
Computerphile discusses MIRI's "Logical Induction" paper
Parth Athley
4y
2
37
Logical uncertainty and Mathematical uncertainty
AlexMennen
4y
6
28
Bounded Oracle Induction
Diffractor
4y
0