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81 posts
Bayes' Theorem
Probabilistic Reasoning
ET Jaynes
Radical Probabilism
Reversed Stupidity Is Not Intelligence
Problem of Old Evidence
35 posts
Logical Induction
Logical Uncertainty
163
Radical Probabilism
abramdemski
2y
47
155
Bayes' Theorem Illustrated (My Way)
komponisto
12y
195
120
What is Bayesianism?
Kaj_Sotala
12y
217
120
Bayes for Schizophrenics: Reasoning in Delusional Disorders
Scott Alexander
10y
155
109
Why We Can't Take Expected Value Estimates Literally (Even When They're Unbiased)
HoldenKarnofsky
11y
252
99
Absolute Authority
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
78
97
Update Yourself Incrementally
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
29
95
Beautiful Probability
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
122
82
What Bayesianism taught me
Tyrrell_McAllister
9y
204
78
Frequentist Statistics are Frequently Subjective
Eliezer Yudkowsky
13y
82
78
A Technical Explanation of Technical Explanation
Eliezer Yudkowsky
17y
7
72
Bayesianism for Humans
ChrisHallquist
9y
37
68
A Bayesian Aggregation Paradox
Jsevillamol
1y
22
67
Yes, Virginia, You Can Be 99.99% (Or More!) Certain That 53 Is Prime
ChrisHallquist
9y
70
154
An Untrollable Mathematician Illustrated
abramdemski
4y
38
140
Logical induction for software engineers
Alex Flint
17d
2
102
An Intuitive Guide to Garrabrant Induction
Mark Xu
1y
18
101
History of the Development of Logical Induction
Scott Garrabrant
4y
4
85
In Logical Time, All Games are Iterated Games
abramdemski
4y
8
82
Toward a New Technical Explanation of Technical Explanation
abramdemski
4y
36
65
Markets are Universal for Logical Induction
johnswentworth
3y
0
63
Bayesian Probability is for things that are Space-like Separated from You
Scott Garrabrant
4y
22
44
Computerphile discusses MIRI's "Logical Induction" paper
Parth Athley
4y
2
39
What Would I Do? Self-prediction in Simple Algorithms
Scott Garrabrant
2y
13
37
Logical uncertainty and Mathematical uncertainty
AlexMennen
4y
6
33
Radical Probabilism [Transcript]
abramdemski
2y
12
30
Probabilistic Löb theorem
Stuart_Armstrong
9y
40
28
Bounded Oracle Induction
Diffractor
4y
0