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alive
58 posts
Bayes' Theorem
23 posts
Probabilistic Reasoning
Radical Probabilism
ET Jaynes
Problem of Old Evidence
Reversed Stupidity Is Not Intelligence
155
Bayes' Theorem Illustrated (My Way)
komponisto
12y
195
120
What is Bayesianism?
Kaj_Sotala
12y
217
120
Bayes for Schizophrenics: Reasoning in Delusional Disorders
Scott Alexander
10y
155
109
Why We Can't Take Expected Value Estimates Literally (Even When They're Unbiased)
HoldenKarnofsky
11y
252
95
Beautiful Probability
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
122
82
What Bayesianism taught me
Tyrrell_McAllister
9y
204
78
Frequentist Statistics are Frequently Subjective
Eliezer Yudkowsky
13y
82
78
A Technical Explanation of Technical Explanation
Eliezer Yudkowsky
17y
7
72
Bayesianism for Humans
ChrisHallquist
9y
37
68
A Bayesian Aggregation Paradox
Jsevillamol
1y
22
67
Yes, Virginia, You Can Be 99.99% (Or More!) Certain That 53 Is Prime
ChrisHallquist
9y
70
66
Kalman Filter for Bayesians
SatvikBeri
4y
6
65
An Intuitive Explanation of Bayes's Theorem
Eliezer Yudkowsky
19y
8
64
Against NHST
gwern
10y
64
163
Radical Probabilism
abramdemski
2y
47
99
Absolute Authority
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
78
97
Update Yourself Incrementally
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
29
34
The Generalized Product Rule
aysajan
1y
7
31
Five views of Bayes' Theorem
Adam Scherlis
5mo
4
27
Don't be afraid of the thousand-year-old vampire
Ulisse Mini
8mo
3
21
Frequentist practice incorporates prior information all the time
Maxwell Peterson
2y
0
18
Jaynes-Cox Probability: Are plausibilities objective?
1y
17
18
Reversed stupidity sometimes provides useful information
Scott Alexander
11y
13
15
Halpern’s paper - A refutation of Cox’s theorem?
1y
7
12
E.T. Jaynes and Hugh Everett - includes a previously unpublished review by Jaynes of a published short version of Everett's dissertation
buybuydandavis
10y
10
9
Draft of Edwin Jaynes' "Probability Theory: The Logic of Science" online, with lost chapter 30
buybuydandavis
10y
12
9
Probability theory implies Occam's razor
Maxwell Peterson
2y
4
9
No One Knows Stuff
talisman
13y
47