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58 posts
Bayes' Theorem
23 posts
Probabilistic Reasoning
Radical Probabilism
ET Jaynes
Problem of Old Evidence
Reversed Stupidity Is Not Intelligence
174
Bayes for Schizophrenics: Reasoning in Delusional Disorders
Scott Alexander
10y
155
173
Bayes' Theorem Illustrated (My Way)
komponisto
12y
195
146
What Bayesianism taught me
Tyrrell_McAllister
9y
204
135
Why We Can't Take Expected Value Estimates Literally (Even When They're Unbiased)
HoldenKarnofsky
11y
252
120
Against NHST
gwern
10y
64
110
Bayesianism for Humans
ChrisHallquist
9y
37
102
What is Bayesianism?
Kaj_Sotala
12y
217
99
Yes, Virginia, You Can Be 99.99% (Or More!) Certain That 53 Is Prime
ChrisHallquist
9y
70
94
A Fervent Defense of Frequentist Statistics
jsteinhardt
8y
129
86
Frequentist Statistics are Frequently Subjective
Eliezer Yudkowsky
13y
82
83
Bayes Academy: Development report 1
Kaj_Sotala
8y
28
82
The Joys of Conjugate Priors
TCB
11y
24
79
Beautiful Probability
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
122
78
A Bayesian Aggregation Paradox
Jsevillamol
1y
22
155
Radical Probabilism
abramdemski
2y
47
75
Absolute Authority
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
78
57
Update Yourself Incrementally
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
29
45
Five views of Bayes' Theorem
Adam Scherlis
5mo
4
43
Don't be afraid of the thousand-year-old vampire
Ulisse Mini
8mo
3
34
The Generalized Product Rule
aysajan
1y
7
32
Reversed stupidity sometimes provides useful information
Scott Alexander
11y
13
24
E.T. Jaynes and Hugh Everett - includes a previously unpublished review by Jaynes of a published short version of Everett's dissertation
buybuydandavis
10y
10
19
Draft of Edwin Jaynes' "Probability Theory: The Logic of Science" online, with lost chapter 30
buybuydandavis
10y
12
15
Frequentist practice incorporates prior information all the time
Maxwell Peterson
2y
0
11
The Logic of Science: 2.2
mpr
4y
3
9
No One Knows Stuff
talisman
13y
47
9
Has Van Horn fixed Cox’s theorem?
1y
1
7
Halpern’s paper - A refutation of Cox’s theorem?
1y
7