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58 posts
Bayes' Theorem
23 posts
Probabilistic Reasoning
Radical Probabilism
ET Jaynes
Problem of Old Evidence
Reversed Stupidity Is Not Intelligence
63
The Mountain Troll
lsusr
6mo
14
68
A Bayesian Aggregation Paradox
Jsevillamol
1y
22
28
a visual explanation of Bayesian updating
Jan Christian Refsgaard
1y
7
13
Epsilon is not a probability, it's a cop-out
shminux
10mo
35
66
Kalman Filter for Bayesians
SatvikBeri
4y
6
155
Bayes' Theorem Illustrated (My Way)
komponisto
12y
195
34
Very Short Introduction to Bayesian Model Comparison
johnswentworth
3y
5
120
Bayes for Schizophrenics: Reasoning in Delusional Disorders
Scott Alexander
10y
155
33
Bayes' Theorem in three pictures
Sunny from QAD
3y
3
33
What are principled ways for penalising complexity in practice?
Bucky
3y
12
16
Bayesian inference on 1st order logic
Daniel Abolafia
1y
6
13
Are dogs bad?
qbolec
1y
1
109
Why We Can't Take Expected Value Estimates Literally (Even When They're Unbiased)
HoldenKarnofsky
11y
252
120
What is Bayesianism?
Kaj_Sotala
12y
217
31
Five views of Bayes' Theorem
Adam Scherlis
5mo
4
163
Radical Probabilism
abramdemski
2y
47
27
Don't be afraid of the thousand-year-old vampire
Ulisse Mini
8mo
3
34
The Generalized Product Rule
aysajan
1y
7
18
Jaynes-Cox Probability: Are plausibilities objective?
1y
17
15
Halpern’s paper - A refutation of Cox’s theorem?
1y
7
21
Frequentist practice incorporates prior information all the time
Maxwell Peterson
2y
0
9
Has Van Horn fixed Cox’s theorem?
1y
1
7
Jaynesian interpretation - How does “estimating probabilities” make sense?
1y
40
99
Absolute Authority
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
78
97
Update Yourself Incrementally
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
29
9
Probability theory implies Occam's razor
Maxwell Peterson
2y
4
3
Do Bayesians like Bayesian model Averaging?
1y
13
2
Is LessWrong dead without Cox’s theorem?
1y
88