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267 posts
Logic & Mathematics
Probability & Statistics
Abstraction
Causality
Fermi Estimation
Gödelian Logic
Finite Factored Sets
Open Problems
Category Theory
Timeless Physics
Reflective Reasoning
Tensor Networks
116 posts
Bayes' Theorem
Logical Induction
Logical Uncertainty
Radical Probabilism
Probabilistic Reasoning
ET Jaynes
Problem of Old Evidence
Reversed Stupidity Is Not Intelligence
247
Why the tails come apart
Thrasymachus
8y
100
181
Finite Factored Sets in Pictures
Magdalena Wache
9d
29
158
Introduction to Introduction to Category Theory
countedblessings
3y
20
154
The Tails Coming Apart As Metaphor For Life
Scott Alexander
4y
37
150
Finite Factored Sets
Scott Garrabrant
1y
94
145
How long does it take to become Gaussian?
Maxwell Peterson
2y
38
145
Causal Diagrams and Causal Models
Eliezer Yudkowsky
10y
284
140
Six (and a half) intuitions for KL divergence
TheMcDouglas
2mo
16
131
Category Theory Without The Baggage
johnswentworth
2y
49
120
0 And 1 Are Not Probabilities
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
144
114
Sam Harris and the Is–Ought Gap
Tyrrell_McAllister
4y
46
114
New Improved Lottery
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
43
109
Fermi Estimates
lukeprog
9y
110
109
[Book review] Gödel, Escher, Bach: an in-depth explainer
Sam Marks
1y
20
163
Radical Probabilism
abramdemski
2y
47
155
Bayes' Theorem Illustrated (My Way)
komponisto
12y
195
154
An Untrollable Mathematician Illustrated
abramdemski
4y
38
140
Logical induction for software engineers
Alex Flint
17d
2
120
What is Bayesianism?
Kaj_Sotala
12y
217
120
Bayes for Schizophrenics: Reasoning in Delusional Disorders
Scott Alexander
10y
155
109
Why We Can't Take Expected Value Estimates Literally (Even When They're Unbiased)
HoldenKarnofsky
11y
252
102
An Intuitive Guide to Garrabrant Induction
Mark Xu
1y
18
101
History of the Development of Logical Induction
Scott Garrabrant
4y
4
99
Absolute Authority
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
78
97
Update Yourself Incrementally
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
29
95
Beautiful Probability
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
122
85
In Logical Time, All Games are Iterated Games
abramdemski
4y
8
82
What Bayesianism taught me
Tyrrell_McAllister
9y
204