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267 posts
Logic & Mathematics
Probability & Statistics
Abstraction
Causality
Fermi Estimation
Gödelian Logic
Finite Factored Sets
Open Problems
Category Theory
Timeless Physics
Reflective Reasoning
Tensor Networks
116 posts
Bayes' Theorem
Logical Induction
Logical Uncertainty
Radical Probabilism
Probabilistic Reasoning
ET Jaynes
Problem of Old Evidence
Reversed Stupidity Is Not Intelligence
280
Why the tails come apart
Thrasymachus
8y
100
148
Finite Factored Sets in Pictures
Magdalena Wache
9d
29
137
Finite Factored Sets
Scott Garrabrant
1y
94
137
The Tails Coming Apart As Metaphor For Life
Scott Alexander
4y
37
134
How long does it take to become Gaussian?
Maxwell Peterson
2y
38
133
Causal Diagrams and Causal Models
Eliezer Yudkowsky
10y
284
118
Causal Universes
Eliezer Yudkowsky
10y
393
117
Category Theory Without The Baggage
johnswentworth
2y
49
114
Six (and a half) intuitions for KL divergence
TheMcDouglas
2mo
16
113
Logical Pinpointing
Eliezer Yudkowsky
10y
344
109
Fermi Estimates
lukeprog
9y
110
108
Reflection in Probabilistic Logic
Eliezer Yudkowsky
9y
172
108
Introduction to Introduction to Category Theory
countedblessings
3y
20
106
Mental Context for Model Theory
So8res
9y
47
164
Bayes' Theorem Illustrated (My Way)
komponisto
12y
195
159
Radical Probabilism
abramdemski
2y
47
155
An Untrollable Mathematician Illustrated
abramdemski
4y
38
147
Bayes for Schizophrenics: Reasoning in Delusional Disorders
Scott Alexander
10y
155
124
Logical induction for software engineers
Alex Flint
17d
2
122
Why We Can't Take Expected Value Estimates Literally (Even When They're Unbiased)
HoldenKarnofsky
11y
252
115
An Intuitive Guide to Garrabrant Induction
Mark Xu
1y
18
114
What Bayesianism taught me
Tyrrell_McAllister
9y
204
111
What is Bayesianism?
Kaj_Sotala
12y
217
92
Against NHST
gwern
10y
64
91
Bayesianism for Humans
ChrisHallquist
9y
37
89
History of the Development of Logical Induction
Scott Garrabrant
4y
4
87
Absolute Authority
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
78
87
Beautiful Probability
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
122