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60 posts
Probability & Statistics
Fermi Estimation
113 posts
Logic & Mathematics
Gödelian Logic
Category Theory
Reflective Reasoning
Measure Theory
Tensor Networks
313
Why the tails come apart
Thrasymachus
8y
100
123
How long does it take to become Gaussian?
Maxwell Peterson
2y
38
120
The Tails Coming Apart As Metaphor For Life
Scott Alexander
4y
37
119
Simpson's Paradox
bentarm
11y
58
109
Fermi Estimates
lukeprog
9y
110
88
Six (and a half) intuitions for KL divergence
TheMcDouglas
2mo
16
77
How To Fermi Model
habryka
2y
9
76
0 And 1 Are Not Probabilities
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
144
72
New Improved Lottery
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
43
67
Report likelihood ratios
Ege Erdil
8mo
9
66
The dangers of zero and one
PhilGoetz
9y
68
60
On the Importance of Systematic Biases in Science
gwern
9y
14
56
Subtext is not invariant under linear transformations
PhilGoetz
12y
13
54
Book Review of 5 Applied Bayesian Statistics Books
Jan Christian Refsgaard
1y
6
143
Reflection in Probabilistic Logic
Eliezer Yudkowsky
9y
172
131
Mental Context for Model Theory
So8res
9y
47
129
Should correlation coefficients be expressed as angles?
Sniffnoy
10y
25
127
Logical Pinpointing
Eliezer Yudkowsky
10y
344
103
Category Theory Without The Baggage
johnswentworth
2y
49
99
The Truth About Mathematical Ability
JonahS
7y
142
99
Completeness, incompleteness, and what it all means: first versus second order logic
Stuart_Armstrong
10y
39
95
Probability space has 2 metrics
Donald Hobson
3y
11
95
How to pick your categories
12y
22
92
Standard and Nonstandard Numbers
Eliezer Yudkowsky
10y
87
88
Godel's Completeness and Incompleteness Theorems
Eliezer Yudkowsky
9y
87
80
The Goldbach conjecture is probably correct; so was Fermat's last theorem
Stuart_Armstrong
2y
27
74
Probability, knowledge, and meta-probability
David_Chapman
9y
73
69
The different types (not sizes!) of infinity
Stuart_Armstrong
4y
31