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25 posts
AI Takeoff
Industrial Revolution
Air Conditioning
16 posts
AI Governance
Recursive Self-Improvement
Law and Legal systems
Effective Altruism
Modest Epistemology
197
Yudkowsky and Christiano discuss "Takeoff Speeds"
Eliezer Yudkowsky
1y
181
118
Everything I Need To Know About Takeoff Speeds I Learned From Air Conditioner Ratings On Amazon
johnswentworth
8mo
130
62
my current outlook on AI risk mitigation
carado
2mo
4
32
Will AI undergo discontinuous progress?
Sammy Martin
2y
21
24
Modelling Continuous Progress
Sammy Martin
2y
3
67
Arguments about fast takeoff
paulfchristiano
4y
64
35
For every choice of AGI difficulty, conditioning on gradual take-off implies shorter timelines.
Francis Rhys Ward
8mo
13
20
More on disambiguating "discontinuity"
Aryeh Englander
2y
1
77
Misconceptions about continuous takeoff
Matthew Barnett
3y
38
140
The date of AI Takeover is not the day the AI takes over
Daniel Kokotajlo
2y
32
56
Review of Soft Takeoff Can Still Lead to DSA
Daniel Kokotajlo
1y
15
120
Soft takeoff can still lead to decisive strategic advantage
Daniel Kokotajlo
3y
46
25
Why you might expect homogeneous take-off: evidence from ML research
Andrei Alexandru
5mo
0
157
My Overview of the AI Alignment Landscape: A Bird's Eye View
Neel Nanda
1y
9
104
Applying superintelligence without collusion
Eric Drexler
1mo
56
182
What does it take to defend the world against out-of-control AGIs?
Steven Byrnes
1mo
31
13
How promising are legal avenues to restrict AI training data?
thehalliard
10d
2
6
Law-Following AI 4: Don't Rely on Vicarious Liability
Cullen_OKeefe
4mo
2
36
Replacement for PONR concept
Daniel Kokotajlo
3mo
6
5
Stable self-improvement as a research problem
paulfchristiano
8y
0
7
Law-Following AI 2: Intent Alignment + Superintelligence → Lawless AI (By Default)
Cullen_OKeefe
7mo
2
5
Law-Following AI 3: Lawless AI Agents Undermine Stabilizing Agreements
Cullen_OKeefe
7mo
2
128
Disentangling arguments for the importance of AI safety
Richard_Ngo
3y
23
17
Law-Following AI 1: Sequence Introduction and Structure
Cullen_OKeefe
7mo
10
31
What success looks like
Marius Hobbhahn
5mo
4
35
Why Copilot Accelerates Timelines
Michaël Trazzi
7mo
14
50
Ngo's view on alignment difficulty
Richard_Ngo
1y
7
119
Ngo and Yudkowsky on AI capability gains
Eliezer Yudkowsky
1y
61