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25 posts
AI Takeoff
Industrial Revolution
Air Conditioning
16 posts
AI Governance
Recursive Self-Improvement
Law and Legal systems
Effective Altruism
Modest Epistemology
62
my current outlook on AI risk mitigation
carado
2mo
4
118
Everything I Need To Know About Takeoff Speeds I Learned From Air Conditioner Ratings On Amazon
johnswentworth
8mo
130
197
Yudkowsky and Christiano discuss "Takeoff Speeds"
Eliezer Yudkowsky
1y
181
110
Takeoff speeds have a huge effect on what it means to work on AI x-risk
Buck
8mo
25
157
My Overview of the AI Alignment Landscape: A Bird's Eye View
Neel Nanda
1y
9
36
Continuity Assumptions
Jan_Kulveit
6mo
13
25
Why you might expect homogeneous take-off: evidence from ML research
Andrei Alexandru
5mo
0
140
The date of AI Takeover is not the day the AI takes over
Daniel Kokotajlo
2y
32
123
Against GDP as a metric for timelines and takeoff speeds
Daniel Kokotajlo
1y
16
35
For every choice of AGI difficulty, conditioning on gradual take-off implies shorter timelines.
Francis Rhys Ward
8mo
13
61
Takeoff Speeds and Discontinuities
Sammy Martin
1y
1
20
Frame for Take-Off Speeds to inform compute governance & scaling alignment
Logan Riggs
7mo
2
120
Soft takeoff can still lead to decisive strategic advantage
Daniel Kokotajlo
3y
46
56
Review of Soft Takeoff Can Still Lead to DSA
Daniel Kokotajlo
1y
15
182
What does it take to defend the world against out-of-control AGIs?
Steven Byrnes
1mo
31
104
Applying superintelligence without collusion
Eric Drexler
1mo
56
13
How promising are legal avenues to restrict AI training data?
thehalliard
10d
2
29
The economy as an analogy for advanced AI systems
rosehadshar
1mo
0
36
Replacement for PONR concept
Daniel Kokotajlo
3mo
6
119
Ngo and Yudkowsky on AI capability gains
Eliezer Yudkowsky
1y
61
31
What success looks like
Marius Hobbhahn
5mo
4
35
Why Copilot Accelerates Timelines
Michaël Trazzi
7mo
14
50
Ngo's view on alignment difficulty
Richard_Ngo
1y
7
17
Law-Following AI 1: Sequence Introduction and Structure
Cullen_OKeefe
7mo
10
128
Disentangling arguments for the importance of AI safety
Richard_Ngo
3y
23
6
Law-Following AI 4: Don't Rely on Vicarious Liability
Cullen_OKeefe
4mo
2
7
Law-Following AI 2: Intent Alignment + Superintelligence → Lawless AI (By Default)
Cullen_OKeefe
7mo
2
5
Law-Following AI 3: Lawless AI Agents Undermine Stabilizing Agreements
Cullen_OKeefe
7mo
2