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25 posts
AI Takeoff
Industrial Revolution
Air Conditioning
16 posts
AI Governance
Recursive Self-Improvement
Law and Legal systems
Effective Altruism
Modest Epistemology
191
Yudkowsky and Christiano discuss "Takeoff Speeds"
Eliezer Yudkowsky
1y
181
149
Everything I Need To Know About Takeoff Speeds I Learned From Air Conditioner Ratings On Amazon
johnswentworth
8mo
130
58
my current outlook on AI risk mitigation
carado
2mo
4
26
Will AI undergo discontinuous progress?
Sammy Martin
2y
21
29
Modelling Continuous Progress
Sammy Martin
2y
3
75
Arguments about fast takeoff
paulfchristiano
4y
64
29
For every choice of AGI difficulty, conditioning on gradual take-off implies shorter timelines.
Francis Rhys Ward
8mo
13
16
More on disambiguating "discontinuity"
Aryeh Englander
2y
1
79
Misconceptions about continuous takeoff
Matthew Barnett
3y
38
116
The date of AI Takeover is not the day the AI takes over
Daniel Kokotajlo
2y
32
75
Review of Soft Takeoff Can Still Lead to DSA
Daniel Kokotajlo
1y
15
121
Soft takeoff can still lead to decisive strategic advantage
Daniel Kokotajlo
3y
46
24
Why you might expect homogeneous take-off: evidence from ML research
Andrei Alexandru
5mo
0
111
My Overview of the AI Alignment Landscape: A Bird's Eye View
Neel Nanda
1y
9
87
Applying superintelligence without collusion
Eric Drexler
1mo
56
141
What does it take to defend the world against out-of-control AGIs?
Steven Byrnes
1mo
31
9
How promising are legal avenues to restrict AI training data?
thehalliard
10d
2
5
Law-Following AI 4: Don't Rely on Vicarious Liability
Cullen_OKeefe
4mo
2
44
Replacement for PONR concept
Daniel Kokotajlo
3mo
6
7
Stable self-improvement as a research problem
paulfchristiano
8y
0
5
Law-Following AI 2: Intent Alignment + Superintelligence → Lawless AI (By Default)
Cullen_OKeefe
7mo
2
2
Law-Following AI 3: Lawless AI Agents Undermine Stabilizing Agreements
Cullen_OKeefe
7mo
2
129
Disentangling arguments for the importance of AI safety
Richard_Ngo
3y
23
16
Law-Following AI 1: Sequence Introduction and Structure
Cullen_OKeefe
7mo
10
19
What success looks like
Marius Hobbhahn
5mo
4
35
Why Copilot Accelerates Timelines
Michaël Trazzi
7mo
14
63
Ngo's view on alignment difficulty
Richard_Ngo
1y
7
129
Ngo and Yudkowsky on AI capability gains
Eliezer Yudkowsky
1y
61