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456 posts
Cause prioritization
Longtermism
Long-term future
Global priorities research
Criticism of effective altruist causes
Global Priorities Institute
ITN framework
Criticism of longtermism and existential risk studies
AI skepticism
Flourishing futures
Speeding up development
Trajectory change
404 posts
Forecasting
Rationality
Research summary
Epistemic deference
Cluelessness
Metaculus
Newsletters
Epistemology
Forecasting Newsletter
Statistics
Prediction markets
Research
15
Paper summary: Do not go gentle: why the Asymmetry does not support anti-natalism (Andreas Mogensen)
Global Priorities Institute
13h
2
-7
Why complexity science is important for effective altruism
Nikiz
5d
6
7
Beyond a better world
Davidmanheim
6d
5
13
Can an evidentialist be risk-averse? (Hayden Wilkinson)
Global Priorities Institute
5d
4
183
The Future Might Not Be So Great
Jacy
5mo
118
100
We can do better than argmax
Jan_Kulveit
2mo
37
238
Counterarguments to the basic AI risk case
Katja_Grace
2mo
22
91
Parfit + Singer + Aliens = ?
Maxwell Tabarrok
2mo
23
64
A Critique of Longtermism by Popular YouTube Science Channel, Sabine Hossenfelder: "Elon Musk & The Longtermists: What Is Their Plan?"
Ram Aditya
1mo
21
81
Mini summaries of GPI papers
Jack Malde
1mo
16
43
Longtermism and Computational Complexity
David Kinney
3mo
46
162
Existential risk pessimism and the time of perils
David Thorstad
4mo
51
93
Assessing the case for population growth as a priority
Charlotte
1mo
7
29
A Pin and a Balloon: Anthropic Fragility Increases Chances of Runaway Global Warming
turchin
3mo
25
62
Radical tactics can increase support for more moderate groups
James Ozden
4d
11
102
Does putting kids in school now put money in their pockets later? Revisiting a natural experiment in Indonesia
David Roodman
25d
24
117
Evidence, cluelessness, and the long term - Hilary Greaves
james
2y
85
5
Debate About Biased Methodology | Corentin Biteau and Elliot Temple
Elliot Temple
1mo
57
18
Why you think you're right - even when you're wrong
EA Handbook
4mo
2
243
Announcing the first issue of Asterisk
Clara Collier
29d
47
74
Creating a database for base rates
nikos
8d
7
112
Clarifications on diminishing returns and risk aversion in giving
Robert_Wiblin
25d
25
15
How Many Lives Does X-Risk Work Save From Nonexistence On Average?
Jordan Arel
12d
10
162
EA should blurt
RobBensinger
28d
26
14
Paper summary: The paralysis argument (William MacAskill and Andreas Mogensen)
Global Priorities Institute
4d
3
13
Simple BOTEC on X-Risk Work for Neartermists
Phosphorous
18d
10
10
The biggest red flag about SBF
trevor1
26d
11
1
Ignoring “Small” Errors
Elliot Temple
19d
7