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456 posts
Cause prioritization
Longtermism
Long-term future
Global priorities research
Criticism of effective altruist causes
Global Priorities Institute
ITN framework
Criticism of longtermism and existential risk studies
AI skepticism
Flourishing futures
Speeding up development
Trajectory change
404 posts
Forecasting
Rationality
Research summary
Epistemic deference
Cluelessness
Metaculus
Newsletters
Epistemology
Forecasting Newsletter
Statistics
Prediction markets
Research
15
Paper summary: Do not go gentle: why the Asymmetry does not support anti-natalism (Andreas Mogensen)
Global Priorities Institute
13h
2
32
Civilizational vulnerability types: a summary
Will Aldred
9d
2
238
Counterarguments to the basic AI risk case
Katja_Grace
2mo
22
13
Can an evidentialist be risk-averse? (Hayden Wilkinson)
Global Priorities Institute
5d
4
93
Assessing the case for population growth as a priority
Charlotte
1mo
7
561
"Long-Termism" vs. "Existential Risk"
Scott Alexander
8mo
83
81
Mini summaries of GPI papers
Jack Malde
1mo
16
7
Beyond a better world
Davidmanheim
6d
5
24
Future people might not exist
Indra Gesink
20d
0
100
We can do better than argmax
Jan_Kulveit
2mo
37
15
A case for the adoption of Phage therapy in Africa
emmannaemeka
13d
2
91
Parfit + Singer + Aliens = ?
Maxwell Tabarrok
2mo
23
64
A Critique of Longtermism by Popular YouTube Science Channel, Sabine Hossenfelder: "Elon Musk & The Longtermists: What Is Their Plan?"
Ram Aditya
1mo
21
57
Longtermist terminology has biasing assumptions
Arepo
1mo
13
62
Radical tactics can increase support for more moderate groups
James Ozden
4d
11
74
Creating a database for base rates
nikos
8d
7
243
Announcing the first issue of Asterisk
Clara Collier
29d
47
162
EA should blurt
RobBensinger
28d
26
50
Contrarians as a reference class
Will Aldred
10d
0
87
Beware frictions from altruistic value differences
Magnus Vinding
19d
6
112
Clarifications on diminishing returns and risk aversion in giving
Robert_Wiblin
25d
25
14
Paper summary: The paralysis argument (William MacAskill and Andreas Mogensen)
Global Priorities Institute
4d
3
102
Does putting kids in school now put money in their pockets later? Revisiting a natural experiment in Indonesia
David Roodman
25d
24
13
The EA Behavioral Science Newsletter #7 (December 2022)
PeterSlattery
5d
0
26
EA & LW Forums Weekly Summary (28th Nov - 4th Dec 22')
Zoe Williams
14d
0
19
The Last Temptation of Christ (Alexander, 2012)
Will Aldred
11d
1
15
How Many Lives Does X-Risk Work Save From Nonexistence On Average?
Jordan Arel
12d
10
37
Tyranny of the Epistemic Majority
Scott Garrabrant
28d
2