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456 posts
Cause prioritization
Longtermism
Long-term future
Global priorities research
Criticism of effective altruist causes
Global Priorities Institute
ITN framework
Criticism of longtermism and existential risk studies
AI skepticism
Flourishing futures
Speeding up development
Trajectory change
404 posts
Forecasting
Rationality
Research summary
Epistemic deference
Cluelessness
Metaculus
Newsletters
Epistemology
Forecasting Newsletter
Statistics
Prediction markets
Research
17
Paper summary: Do not go gentle: why the Asymmetry does not support anti-natalism (Andreas Mogensen)
Global Priorities Institute
13h
2
290
Counterarguments to the basic AI risk case
Katja_Grace
2mo
22
107
Assessing the case for population growth as a priority
Charlotte
1mo
7
15
Beyond a better world
Davidmanheim
6d
5
9
Can an evidentialist be risk-averse? (Hayden Wilkinson)
Global Priorities Institute
5d
4
16
Civilizational vulnerability types: a summary
Will Aldred
9d
2
87
Mini summaries of GPI papers
Jack Malde
1mo
16
122
We can do better than argmax
Jan_Kulveit
2mo
37
401
"Long-Termism" vs. "Existential Risk"
Scott Alexander
8mo
83
118
Summarizing the comments on William MacAskill's NYT opinion piece on longtermism
West
3mo
11
59
Longtermist terminology has biasing assumptions
Arepo
1mo
13
75
Parfit + Singer + Aliens = ?
Maxwell Tabarrok
2mo
23
152
Existential risk pessimism and the time of perils
David Thorstad
4mo
51
52
A Critique of Longtermism by Popular YouTube Science Channel, Sabine Hossenfelder: "Elon Musk & The Longtermists: What Is Their Plan?"
Ram Aditya
1mo
21
90
Radical tactics can increase support for more moderate groups
James Ozden
4d
11
307
Announcing the first issue of Asterisk
Clara Collier
29d
47
66
Creating a database for base rates
nikos
8d
7
170
Clarifications on diminishing returns and risk aversion in giving
Robert_Wiblin
25d
25
22
Paper summary: The paralysis argument (William MacAskill and Andreas Mogensen)
Global Priorities Institute
4d
3
136
Does putting kids in school now put money in their pockets later? Revisiting a natural experiment in Indonesia
David Roodman
25d
24
146
EA should blurt
RobBensinger
28d
26
79
Beware frictions from altruistic value differences
Magnus Vinding
19d
6
15
The EA Behavioral Science Newsletter #7 (December 2022)
PeterSlattery
5d
0
40
EA & LW Forums Weekly Summary (28th Nov - 4th Dec 22')
Zoe Williams
14d
0
99
Tracking the money flows in forecasting
NunoSempere
1mo
4
142
Invisible impact loss (and why we can be too error-averse)
Lizka
2mo
14
45
Tyranny of the Epistemic Majority
Scott Garrabrant
28d
2
128
When reporting AI timelines, be clear who you're (not) deferring to
Sam Clarke
2mo
20