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456 posts
Cause prioritization
Longtermism
Long-term future
Global priorities research
Criticism of effective altruist causes
Global Priorities Institute
ITN framework
Criticism of longtermism and existential risk studies
AI skepticism
Flourishing futures
Speeding up development
Trajectory change
404 posts
Forecasting
Rationality
Research summary
Epistemic deference
Cluelessness
Metaculus
Newsletters
Epistemology
Forecasting Newsletter
Statistics
Prediction markets
Research
16
Paper summary: Do not go gentle: why the Asymmetry does not support anti-natalism (Andreas Mogensen)
Global Priorities Institute
13h
2
11
Can an evidentialist be risk-averse? (Hayden Wilkinson)
Global Priorities Institute
5d
4
264
Counterarguments to the basic AI risk case
Katja_Grace
2mo
22
11
Beyond a better world
Davidmanheim
6d
5
100
Assessing the case for population growth as a priority
Charlotte
1mo
7
24
Civilizational vulnerability types: a summary
Will Aldred
9d
2
84
Mini summaries of GPI papers
Jack Malde
1mo
16
481
"Long-Termism" vs. "Existential Risk"
Scott Alexander
8mo
83
11
A case for the adoption of Phage therapy in Africa
emmannaemeka
13d
2
111
We can do better than argmax
Jan_Kulveit
2mo
37
18
Future people might not exist
Indra Gesink
20d
0
26
Shallow Report on Tinnitus
Joel Tan (CEARCH)
27d
0
13
Should all RCTs now be Intervention X Vs. Cash Transfer?
NickLaing
18d
2
58
Longtermist terminology has biasing assumptions
Arepo
1mo
13
76
Radical tactics can increase support for more moderate groups
James Ozden
4d
11
70
Creating a database for base rates
nikos
8d
7
275
Announcing the first issue of Asterisk
Clara Collier
29d
47
18
Paper summary: The paralysis argument (William MacAskill and Andreas Mogensen)
Global Priorities Institute
4d
3
141
Clarifications on diminishing returns and risk aversion in giving
Robert_Wiblin
25d
25
154
EA should blurt
RobBensinger
28d
26
14
The EA Behavioral Science Newsletter #7 (December 2022)
PeterSlattery
5d
0
119
Does putting kids in school now put money in their pockets later? Revisiting a natural experiment in Indonesia
David Roodman
25d
24
83
Beware frictions from altruistic value differences
Magnus Vinding
19d
6
33
EA & LW Forums Weekly Summary (28th Nov - 4th Dec 22')
Zoe Williams
14d
0
28
Contrarians as a reference class
Will Aldred
10d
0
15
How Many Lives Does X-Risk Work Save From Nonexistence On Average?
Jordan Arel
12d
10
74
Tracking the money flows in forecasting
NunoSempere
1mo
4
41
Tyranny of the Epistemic Majority
Scott Garrabrant
28d
2