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74 posts
Rationality
Cognitive bias
Scope neglect
Giving and happiness
Thinking at the margin
Conflict theory vs. mistake theory
48 posts
Epistemology
Statistics
Bayesian epistemology
Optimizer's curse
Bayes' Theorem
79
Beware frictions from altruistic value differences
Magnus Vinding
19d
6
142
Invisible impact loss (and why we can be too error-averse)
Lizka
2mo
14
11
The Last Temptation of Christ (Alexander, 2012)
Will Aldred
11d
1
25
Geometric Exploration, Arithmetic Exploitation
Scott Garrabrant
26d
0
26
Critically Engaging with Long Articles
Elliot Temple
1mo
2
46
Scout Mindset Poster
Anthony Fleming
2mo
8
51
Value of Life: VSL Estimates vs Community Perspective Evaluations
Joel Tan (CEARCH)
3mo
4
27
A common failure for foxes
RobBensinger
2mo
2
26
Calibrate - New Chrome Extension for hiding numbers so you can guess
ChanaMessinger
2mo
4
7
Good decisions
Yadav
24d
3
54
Beware Invisible Mistakes
kuhanj
7mo
5
13
In extremely high-stakes scenarios, it's ok not to maximise expected utility
Pivocajs
2mo
12
11
Two Guts
ChanaMessinger
2mo
1
36
Know what you're optimising for
alexrjl
5mo
2
45
Tyranny of the Epistemic Majority
Scott Garrabrant
28d
2
29
The Geometric Expectation
Scott Garrabrant
27d
0
158
Global health is important for the epistemic foundations of EA, even for longtermists
Owen Cotton-Barratt
6mo
16
41
A peek at pairwise preference estimation in economics, marketing, and statistics
Jonas Moss
2mo
5
42
Estimating value from pairwise comparisons
Jonas Moss
2mo
3
107
Limits to Legibility
Jan_Kulveit
5mo
3
239
Flimsy Pet Theories, Enormous Initiatives
Ozzie Gooen
1y
57
84
Probability distributions of Cost-Effectiveness can be misleading
Lorenzo Buonanno
5mo
52
63
Don't Over-Optimize Things
Owen Cotton-Barratt
6mo
7
97
Disagreeables and Assessors: Two Intellectual Archetypes
Ozzie Gooen
1y
20
72
Bayesian Mindset
Holden Karnofsky
12mo
19
27
Where can I find good criticisms of EA made by non-EAs?
oh54321
6mo
5
20
Red teaming a model for estimating the value of longtermist interventions - A critique of Tarsney's "The Epistemic Challenge to Longtermism"
Anjay F
5mo
0
200
Reality is often underpowered
Gregory Lewis
3y
17