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74 posts
Rationality
Cognitive bias
Scope neglect
Giving and happiness
Thinking at the margin
Conflict theory vs. mistake theory
48 posts
Epistemology
Statistics
Bayesian epistemology
Optimizer's curse
Bayes' Theorem
168
Beware surprising and suspicious convergence
Gregory Lewis
6y
22
142
Invisible impact loss (and why we can be too error-averse)
Lizka
2mo
14
82
Outline of Galef's "Scout Mindset"
RobBensinger
1y
9
79
Beware frictions from altruistic value differences
Magnus Vinding
19d
6
78
What are some low-information priors that you find practically useful for thinking about the world?
Linch
2y
31
69
Reality has a surprising amount of detail
Aaron Gertler
1y
0
64
Strong Evidence is Common
Mark Xu
1y
7
58
Potential downsides of using explicit probabilities
MichaelA
2y
22
54
Beware Invisible Mistakes
kuhanj
7mo
5
52
Giving more won't make you happier
Milan_Griffes
4y
24
51
Value of Life: VSL Estimates vs Community Perspective Evaluations
Joel Tan (CEARCH)
3mo
4
49
AMA: Ian David Moss, strategy consultant to foundations and other institutions
IanDavidMoss
1y
28
46
Scout Mindset Poster
Anthony Fleming
2mo
8
45
Retrospective on Teaching Rationality Workshops
Neel Nanda
1y
9
239
Flimsy Pet Theories, Enormous Initiatives
Ozzie Gooen
1y
57
200
Reality is often underpowered
Gregory Lewis
3y
17
164
List of ways in which cost-effectiveness estimates can be misleading
saulius
3y
30
158
Global health is important for the epistemic foundations of EA, even for longtermists
Owen Cotton-Barratt
6mo
16
107
Limits to Legibility
Jan_Kulveit
5mo
3
105
Deference for Bayesians
John G. Halstead
1y
30
97
Disagreeables and Assessors: Two Intellectual Archetypes
Ozzie Gooen
1y
20
84
Probability distributions of Cost-Effectiveness can be misleading
Lorenzo Buonanno
5mo
52
81
[Link] The Optimizer's Curse & Wrong-Way Reductions
Chris Smith
3y
61
72
Bayesian Mindset
Holden Karnofsky
12mo
19
63
Don't Over-Optimize Things
Owen Cotton-Barratt
6mo
7
50
Take care with notation for uncertain quantities
Gregory Lewis
2y
2
45
Tyranny of the Epistemic Majority
Scott Garrabrant
28d
2
42
Estimating value from pairwise comparisons
Jonas Moss
2mo
3