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122 posts
Rationality
Epistemology
Statistics
Cognitive bias
Scope neglect
Optimizer's curse
Bayesian epistemology
Giving and happiness
Thinking at the margin
Conflict theory vs. mistake theory
Bayes' Theorem
20 posts
Epistemic deference
Independent impression
239
Flimsy Pet Theories, Enormous Initiatives
Ozzie Gooen
1y
57
200
Reality is often underpowered
Gregory Lewis
3y
17
168
Beware surprising and suspicious convergence
Gregory Lewis
6y
22
164
List of ways in which cost-effectiveness estimates can be misleading
saulius
3y
30
158
Global health is important for the epistemic foundations of EA, even for longtermists
Owen Cotton-Barratt
6mo
16
142
Invisible impact loss (and why we can be too error-averse)
Lizka
2mo
14
107
Limits to Legibility
Jan_Kulveit
5mo
3
105
Deference for Bayesians
John G. Halstead
1y
30
97
Disagreeables and Assessors: Two Intellectual Archetypes
Ozzie Gooen
1y
20
84
Probability distributions of Cost-Effectiveness can be misleading
Lorenzo Buonanno
5mo
52
82
Outline of Galef's "Scout Mindset"
RobBensinger
1y
9
81
[Link] The Optimizer's Curse & Wrong-Way Reductions
Chris Smith
3y
61
79
Beware frictions from altruistic value differences
Magnus Vinding
19d
6
78
What are some low-information priors that you find practically useful for thinking about the world?
Linch
2y
31
146
EA should blurt
RobBensinger
28d
26
139
Independent impressions
MichaelA
1y
7
134
Some thoughts on deference and inside-view models
Buck
2y
31
134
Deference Culture in EA
Joey
6mo
23
128
When reporting AI timelines, be clear who you're (not) deferring to
Sam Clarke
2mo
20
118
Deferring
Owen Cotton-Barratt
7mo
40
110
In defence of epistemic modesty
Gregory Lewis
5y
49
76
"Good judgement" and its components
Owen Cotton-Barratt
2y
11
42
Judgement as a key need in EA
Benjamin_Todd
2y
16
29
EA reading list: cluelessness and epistemic modesty
richard_ngo
2y
3
28
Inadequacy and Modesty
EliezerYudkowsky
5y
30
25
I knew a bit about misinformation and fact-checking in 2017. AMA, if you're really desperate.
MichaelA
2y
17
19
Gregory Lewis and Oliver Habryka: Trusting experts
EA Global
4y
0
17
"Entitlement to believe" is lacking in Effective Altruism (by Andrew Critch)
ricoh_aficio
6y
0