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122 posts
Rationality
Epistemology
Statistics
Cognitive bias
Scope neglect
Optimizer's curse
Bayesian epistemology
Giving and happiness
Thinking at the margin
Conflict theory vs. mistake theory
Bayes' Theorem
20 posts
Epistemic deference
Independent impression
244
List of ways in which cost-effectiveness estimates can be misleading
saulius
3y
30
218
Reality is often underpowered
Gregory Lewis
3y
17
177
Flimsy Pet Theories, Enormous Initiatives
Ozzie Gooen
1y
57
166
Beware surprising and suspicious convergence
Gregory Lewis
6y
22
162
Global health is important for the epistemic foundations of EA, even for longtermists
Owen Cotton-Barratt
6mo
16
98
Invisible impact loss (and why we can be too error-averse)
Lizka
2mo
14
89
Deference for Bayesians
John G. Halstead
1y
30
89
Limits to Legibility
Jan_Kulveit
5mo
3
87
[Link] The Optimizer's Curse & Wrong-Way Reductions
Chris Smith
3y
61
87
Beware frictions from altruistic value differences
Magnus Vinding
19d
6
84
Outline of Galef's "Scout Mindset"
RobBensinger
1y
9
73
Disagreeables and Assessors: Two Intellectual Archetypes
Ozzie Gooen
1y
20
72
Bayesian Mindset
Holden Karnofsky
12mo
19
56
Potential downsides of using explicit probabilities
MichaelA
2y
22
162
EA should blurt
RobBensinger
28d
26
146
Deference Culture in EA
Joey
6mo
23
132
Some thoughts on deference and inside-view models
Buck
2y
31
123
Independent impressions
MichaelA
1y
7
118
In defence of epistemic modesty
Gregory Lewis
5y
49
104
When reporting AI timelines, be clear who you're (not) deferring to
Sam Clarke
2mo
20
86
Deferring
Owen Cotton-Barratt
7mo
40
50
"Good judgement" and its components
Owen Cotton-Barratt
2y
11
26
Inadequacy and Modesty
EliezerYudkowsky
5y
30
18
Judgement as a key need in EA
Benjamin_Todd
2y
16
17
EA reading list: cluelessness and epistemic modesty
richard_ngo
2y
3
15
I knew a bit about misinformation and fact-checking in 2017. AMA, if you're really desperate.
MichaelA
2y
17
12
EA Concepts: Share Impressions Before Credences
Aaron Gertler
4y
6
11
"Entitlement to believe" is lacking in Effective Altruism (by Andrew Critch)
ricoh_aficio
6y
0