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alive
74 posts
Rationality
Cognitive bias
Scope neglect
Giving and happiness
Thinking at the margin
Conflict theory vs. mistake theory
48 posts
Epistemology
Statistics
Bayesian epistemology
Optimizer's curse
Bayes' Theorem
83
Beware frictions from altruistic value differences
Magnus Vinding
19d
6
120
Invisible impact loss (and why we can be too error-averse)
Lizka
2mo
14
15
The Last Temptation of Christ (Alexander, 2012)
Will Aldred
11d
1
21
Geometric Exploration, Arithmetic Exploitation
Scott Garrabrant
26d
0
50
Scout Mindset Poster
Anthony Fleming
2mo
8
1
Ignoring “Small” Errors
Elliot Temple
19d
7
24
Critically Engaging with Long Articles
Elliot Temple
1mo
2
49
Value of Life: VSL Estimates vs Community Perspective Evaluations
Joel Tan (CEARCH)
3mo
4
26
Calibrate - New Chrome Extension for hiding numbers so you can guess
ChanaMessinger
2mo
4
20
A common failure for foxes
RobBensinger
2mo
2
9
Good decisions
Yadav
24d
3
14
In extremely high-stakes scenarios, it's ok not to maximise expected utility
Pivocajs
2mo
12
45
Know what you're optimising for
alexrjl
5mo
2
54
Beware Invisible Mistakes
kuhanj
7mo
5
41
Tyranny of the Epistemic Majority
Scott Garrabrant
28d
2
24
The Geometric Expectation
Scott Garrabrant
27d
0
160
Global health is important for the epistemic foundations of EA, even for longtermists
Owen Cotton-Barratt
6mo
16
98
Limits to Legibility
Jan_Kulveit
5mo
3
30
A peek at pairwise preference estimation in economics, marketing, and statistics
Jonas Moss
2mo
5
34
Estimating value from pairwise comparisons
Jonas Moss
2mo
3
208
Flimsy Pet Theories, Enormous Initiatives
Ozzie Gooen
1y
57
66
Probability distributions of Cost-Effectiveness can be misleading
Lorenzo Buonanno
5mo
52
52
Don't Over-Optimize Things
Owen Cotton-Barratt
6mo
7
1
Multi-Factor Decision Making Math
Elliot Temple
1mo
13
12
Political Science Quantitative Methods and EA
Mahendra Prasad
3mo
1
72
Bayesian Mindset
Holden Karnofsky
12mo
19
21
Red teaming a model for estimating the value of longtermist interventions - A critique of Tarsney's "The Epistemic Challenge to Longtermism"
Anjay F
5mo
0
26
Where can I find good criticisms of EA made by non-EAs?
oh54321
6mo
5