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44 posts
Epistemology
The Problem of the Criterion
58 posts
Calibration
Games (posts describing)
Humility
Modest Epistemology
Aumann's Agreement Theorem
Underconfidence
Research Taste
Scoring Rules
Aggregation
27
Proof as mere strong evidence
adamShimi
6d
15
18
Science and Math
lsusr
23d
6
129
How to Convince Me That 2 + 2 = 3
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
407
24
Why the Problem of the Criterion Matters
Gordon Seidoh Worley
1y
6
92
Argument Screens Off Authority
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
85
105
How Much Evidence Does It Take?
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
33
10
What am I missing? (quantum physics)
kithpendragon
2y
11
36
Robin Hanson on Simple, Evidence Backed Models
Raemon
3y
11
23
A Sketch of Answers for Physicalists
Chris_Leong
2y
15
28
On the nature of purpose
Nora_Ammann
1y
15
195
The Lens That Sees Its Flaws
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
41
63
Some rationality tweets
Peter_de_Blanc
11y
81
27
Seeking Truth Too Hard Can Keep You from Winning
Gordon Seidoh Worley
1y
8
5
Some clarifications concerning my "many weak arguments" post
JonahS
9y
2
51
AI takeover tabletop RPG: "The Treacherous Turn"
Daniel Kokotajlo
20d
3
10
Crossword puzzle: LessWrong Halloween 2022
jchan
2mo
11
64
How I Formed My Own Views About AI Safety
Neel Nanda
9mo
6
32
Aumann Agreement Game
abramdemski
7y
16
0
Calibration Gaming
Jonathan Yan
2mo
4
9
When should you defer to expertise? A useful heuristic (Crosspost from EA forum)
Noosphere89
2mo
3
87
Bayesian Judo
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
108
17
A note about calibration of confidence
jbay
6y
35
28
The Prediction Hierarchy
RobinZ
12y
38
17
Timeless Modesty?
abramdemski
5y
2
6
RFC on an open problem: how to determine probabilities in the face of social distortion
ialdabaoth
5y
3
13
How to use "philosophical majoritarianism"
jimmy
13y
9
94
Einstein's Superpowers
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
93
53
Bayes-Up: An App for Sharing Bayesian-MCQ
Louis Faucon
2y
9