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44 posts
Epistemology
The Problem of the Criterion
58 posts
Calibration
Games (posts describing)
Humility
Modest Epistemology
Aumann's Agreement Theorem
Underconfidence
Research Taste
Scoring Rules
Aggregation
195
The Lens That Sees Its Flaws
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
41
129
How to Convince Me That 2 + 2 = 3
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
407
105
How Much Evidence Does It Take?
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
33
92
Argument Screens Off Authority
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
85
87
I only believe in the paranormal
Malmesbury
7mo
9
69
Infinite Certainty
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
128
66
The Principle of Predicted Improvement
Ronny Fernandez
3y
17
65
The secret of Wikipedia's success
Aaron Bergman
1y
10
63
Some rationality tweets
Peter_de_Blanc
11y
81
61
The Tragedy of the Social Epistemology Commons
Roko
12y
91
58
Reflective Bayesianism
abramdemski
1y
27
53
Novum Organum: Preface
Francis Bacon
3y
5
49
The Problem of the Criterion
Gordon Seidoh Worley
1y
38
49
Multiple Factor Explanations Should Not Appear One-Sided
Stefan_Schubert
8y
32
154
The Proper Use of Humility
Eliezer Yudkowsky
16y
54
148
My research methodology
paulfchristiano
1y
36
137
Use Normal Predictions
Jan Christian Refsgaard
11mo
69
132
Irrational Modesty
Tomás B.
1y
7
95
Calibrate your self-assessments
Scott Alexander
11y
121
94
Einstein's Superpowers
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
93
93
The Sin of Underconfidence
Eliezer Yudkowsky
13y
185
87
Bayesian Judo
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
108
86
Bayesian examination
Lê Nguyên Hoang
3y
56
64
How I Formed My Own Views About AI Safety
Neel Nanda
9mo
6
62
A Proper Scoring Rule for Confidence Intervals
Scott Garrabrant
4y
47
62
Against Modest Epistemology
Eliezer Yudkowsky
5y
49
56
Say It Loud
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
20
54
Qualitatively Confused
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
82