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44 posts
Epistemology
The Problem of the Criterion
58 posts
Calibration
Games (posts describing)
Humility
Modest Epistemology
Aumann's Agreement Theorem
Underconfidence
Research Taste
Scoring Rules
Aggregation
284
The Lens That Sees Its Flaws
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
41
163
How Much Evidence Does It Take?
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
33
160
How to Convince Me That 2 + 2 = 3
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
407
129
Argument Screens Off Authority
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
85
101
I only believe in the paranormal
Malmesbury
7mo
9
75
Infinite Certainty
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
128
64
The secret of Wikipedia's success
Aaron Bergman
1y
10
58
The Principle of Predicted Improvement
Ronny Fernandez
3y
17
54
Novum Organum: Preface
Francis Bacon
3y
5
51
Some rationality tweets
Peter_de_Blanc
11y
81
51
The Problem of the Criterion
Gordon Seidoh Worley
1y
38
48
The Pyramid And The Garden
Scott Alexander
6y
12
48
The Tragedy of the Social Epistemology Commons
Roko
12y
91
39
On the nature of purpose
Nora_Ammann
1y
15
188
The Proper Use of Humility
Eliezer Yudkowsky
16y
54
156
Use Normal Predictions
Jan Christian Refsgaard
11mo
69
145
My research methodology
paulfchristiano
1y
36
132
Einstein's Superpowers
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
93
126
Bayesian examination
Lê Nguyên Hoang
3y
56
122
Irrational Modesty
Tomás B.
1y
7
119
The Sin of Underconfidence
Eliezer Yudkowsky
13y
185
108
Bayesian Judo
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
108
73
Calibrate your self-assessments
Scott Alexander
11y
121
70
Qualitatively Confused
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
82
68
How I Formed My Own Views About AI Safety
Neel Nanda
9mo
6
63
Against Modest Epistemology
Eliezer Yudkowsky
5y
49
58
Bayes-Up: An App for Sharing Bayesian-MCQ
Louis Faucon
2y
9
55
The Modesty Argument
Eliezer Yudkowsky
16y
40