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regular
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44 posts
Epistemology
The Problem of the Criterion
58 posts
Calibration
Games (posts describing)
Humility
Modest Epistemology
Aumann's Agreement Theorem
Underconfidence
Research Taste
Scoring Rules
Aggregation
30
Proof as mere strong evidence
adamShimi
6d
15
17
Science and Math
lsusr
23d
6
73
I only believe in the paranormal
Malmesbury
7mo
9
37
An analogy as the midwife of thermodynamics
adamShimi
10mo
10
78
Reflective Bayesianism
abramdemski
1y
27
66
The secret of Wikipedia's success
Aaron Bergman
1y
10
44
David Wolpert on Knowledge
Alex Flint
1y
3
24
Some limitations of reductionism about epistemology
Richard_Ngo
10mo
7
31
Why the Problem of the Criterion Matters
Gordon Seidoh Worley
1y
6
27
Seeking Truth Too Hard Can Keep You from Winning
Gordon Seidoh Worley
1y
8
47
The Problem of the Criterion
Gordon Seidoh Worley
1y
38
74
The Principle of Predicted Improvement
Ronny Fernandez
3y
17
50
What we Know vs. How we Know it?
Elizabeth
2y
0
52
Novum Organum: Preface
Francis Bacon
3y
5
47
AI takeover tabletop RPG: "The Treacherous Turn"
Daniel Kokotajlo
20d
3
118
Use Normal Predictions
Jan Christian Refsgaard
11mo
69
142
Irrational Modesty
Tomás B.
1y
7
11
Crossword puzzle: LessWrong Halloween 2022
jchan
2mo
11
151
My research methodology
paulfchristiano
1y
36
60
How I Formed My Own Views About AI Safety
Neel Nanda
9mo
6
6
When should you defer to expertise? A useful heuristic (Crosspost from EA forum)
Noosphere89
2mo
3
31
The underappreciated value of original thinking below the frontier
Emrik
1y
2
50
The AI Safety Game (UPDATED)
Daniel Kokotajlo
2y
9
48
Bayes-Up: An App for Sharing Bayesian-MCQ
Louis Faucon
2y
9
81
A Proper Scoring Rule for Confidence Intervals
Scott Garrabrant
4y
47
46
Bayesian examination
Lê Nguyên Hoang
3y
56
61
Against Modest Epistemology
Eliezer Yudkowsky
5y
49
117
Calibrate your self-assessments
Scott Alexander
11y
121