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81 posts
Counterfactuals
Counterfactual Mugging
21 posts
Timeless Decision Theory
Past and Future Selves
Interpretive Labor
Perfect Predictor
82
Counterfactual Mugging Poker Game
Scott Garrabrant
4y
2
70
Counterfactual Mugging
Vladimir_Nesov
13y
296
35
My Current Take on Counterfactuals
abramdemski
1y
57
32
Counterfactual outcome state transition parameters
Anders_H
4y
1
30
Can Counterfactuals Be True?
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
47
27
Counterfactual resiliency test for non-causal models
Stuart_Armstrong
10y
78
26
Deconfusing Logical Counterfactuals
Chris_Leong
3y
16
26
Two Alternatives to Logical Counterfactuals
jessicata
2y
61
24
Conditioning, Counterfactuals, Exploration, and Gears
Diffractor
4y
1
23
The Many Faces of Infra-Beliefs
Diffractor
1y
6
23
Counterfactuals are Confusing because of an Ontological Shift
Chris_Leong
4mo
35
22
Agency and the unreliable autonomous car
Alex Flint
1y
24
22
JFK was not assassinated: prior probability zero events
Stuart_Armstrong
6y
48
20
Open Problems Regarding Counterfactuals: An Introduction For Beginners
Diffractor
5y
4
117
How I Lost 100 Pounds Using TDT
Zvi
11y
244
54
Timeless Decision Theory: Problems I Can't Solve
Eliezer Yudkowsky
13y
156
51
Ingredients of Timeless Decision Theory
Eliezer Yudkowsky
13y
227
38
Two Growth Curves
AnnaSalamon
7y
13
37
A problem with Timeless Decision Theory (TDT)
Gary_Drescher
12y
140
36
Humans do acausal coordination all the time
Adam Jermyn
1mo
36
28
Decision Theories: A Semi-Formal Analysis, Part II
orthonormal
10y
28
28
Timeless Decision Theory and Meta-Circular Decision Theory
Eliezer Yudkowsky
13y
37
27
Tidying One’s Room
Zvi
4y
3
25
Interpretive Labor
Benquo
4y
41
24
Decision Theories: A Semi-Formal Analysis, Part III
orthonormal
10y
55
22
Culture, interpretive labor, and tidying one's room
Benquo
4y
0
20
Breaking Newcomb's Problem with Non-Halting states
Slimepriestess
3mo
9
19
Long-term Donation Bunching?
jefftk
3y
21