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81 posts
Counterfactuals
Counterfactual Mugging
21 posts
Timeless Decision Theory
Past and Future Selves
Interpretive Labor
Perfect Predictor
92
Counterfactual Mugging Poker Game
Scott Garrabrant
4y
2
78
Counterfactual Mugging
Vladimir_Nesov
13y
296
71
My Current Take on Counterfactuals
abramdemski
1y
57
52
JFK was not assassinated: prior probability zero events
Stuart_Armstrong
6y
48
48
Two Alternatives to Logical Counterfactuals
jessicata
2y
61
42
Counterfactual outcome state transition parameters
Anders_H
4y
1
41
Counterfactual resiliency test for non-causal models
Stuart_Armstrong
10y
78
37
Counterfactuals, thick and thin
Nisan
4y
11
36
Agency and the unreliable autonomous car
Alex Flint
1y
24
36
Naive TDT, Bayes nets, and counterfactual mugging
Stuart_Armstrong
10y
39
33
The Many Faces of Infra-Beliefs
Diffractor
1y
6
32
Conditioning, Counterfactuals, Exploration, and Gears
Diffractor
4y
1
30
Logical Counterfactuals are low-res
shminux
4y
14
30
What are some concrete problems about logical counterfactuals?
Chris_Leong
4y
4
127
How I Lost 100 Pounds Using TDT
Zvi
11y
244
78
Two Growth Curves
AnnaSalamon
7y
13
66
Humans do acausal coordination all the time
Adam Jermyn
1mo
36
59
Ingredients of Timeless Decision Theory
Eliezer Yudkowsky
13y
227
58
Timeless Decision Theory: Problems I Can't Solve
Eliezer Yudkowsky
13y
156
51
A problem with Timeless Decision Theory (TDT)
Gary_Drescher
12y
140
46
Decision Theories: A Semi-Formal Analysis, Part III
orthonormal
10y
55
43
Tidying One’s Room
Zvi
4y
3
34
Timeless Decision Theory and Meta-Circular Decision Theory
Eliezer Yudkowsky
13y
37
34
Timelessness as a Conservative Extension of Causal Decision Theory
8y
65
31
Interpretive Labor
Benquo
4y
41
28
Culture, interpretive labor, and tidying one's room
Benquo
4y
0
27
Long-term Donation Bunching?
jefftk
3y
21
24
Decision Theories: A Semi-Formal Analysis, Part II
orthonormal
10y
28