Go Back
You can't go any further
You can't go any further
meritocratic
regular
democratic
hot
top
alive
70 posts
Counterfactuals
11 posts
Counterfactual Mugging
71
My Current Take on Counterfactuals
abramdemski
1y
57
52
JFK was not assassinated: prior probability zero events
Stuart_Armstrong
6y
48
48
Two Alternatives to Logical Counterfactuals
jessicata
2y
61
42
Counterfactual outcome state transition parameters
Anders_H
4y
1
41
Counterfactual resiliency test for non-causal models
Stuart_Armstrong
10y
78
37
Counterfactuals, thick and thin
Nisan
4y
11
36
Agency and the unreliable autonomous car
Alex Flint
1y
24
33
The Many Faces of Infra-Beliefs
Diffractor
1y
6
32
Conditioning, Counterfactuals, Exploration, and Gears
Diffractor
4y
1
30
Logical Counterfactuals are low-res
shminux
4y
14
30
What are some concrete problems about logical counterfactuals?
Chris_Leong
4y
4
28
Deconfusing Logical Counterfactuals
Chris_Leong
3y
16
28
Counterfactual Calculation and Observational Knowledge
Vladimir_Nesov
11y
188
25
Counterfactual Induction
Diffractor
3y
7
92
Counterfactual Mugging Poker Game
Scott Garrabrant
4y
2
78
Counterfactual Mugging
Vladimir_Nesov
13y
296
36
Naive TDT, Bayes nets, and counterfactual mugging
Stuart_Armstrong
10y
39
27
The Counterfactual Prisoner's Dilemma
Chris_Leong
3y
15
22
The sin of updating when you can change whether you exist
Benya
8y
17
16
Extremely Counterfactual Mugging or: the gist of Transparent Newcomb
Bongo
11y
79
11
Counterfactual Mugging and Logical Uncertainty
Vladimir_Nesov
13y
21
6
Hazing as Counterfactual Mugging?
SilasBarta
12y
8
5
Counterfactual mugging: alien abduction edition
Emile
12y
18
5
Counterfactual Mugging: Why should you pay?
Chris_Leong
3y
59
3
UDT might not pay a Counterfactual Mugger
winwonce
2y
18