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70 posts
Counterfactuals
11 posts
Counterfactual Mugging
53
My Current Take on Counterfactuals
abramdemski
1y
57
37
Counterfactual outcome state transition parameters
Anders_H
4y
1
37
JFK was not assassinated: prior probability zero events
Stuart_Armstrong
6y
48
37
Two Alternatives to Logical Counterfactuals
jessicata
2y
61
34
Counterfactual resiliency test for non-causal models
Stuart_Armstrong
10y
78
29
Agency and the unreliable autonomous car
Alex Flint
1y
24
28
The Many Faces of Infra-Beliefs
Diffractor
1y
6
28
Counterfactuals, thick and thin
Nisan
4y
11
28
Conditioning, Counterfactuals, Exploration, and Gears
Diffractor
4y
1
27
Deconfusing Logical Counterfactuals
Chris_Leong
3y
16
25
What are some concrete problems about logical counterfactuals?
Chris_Leong
4y
4
25
Can Counterfactuals Be True?
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
47
23
Logical Counterfactuals are low-res
shminux
4y
14
22
Motivating a Semantics of Logical Counterfactuals
Sam_A_Barnett
5y
3
87
Counterfactual Mugging Poker Game
Scott Garrabrant
4y
2
74
Counterfactual Mugging
Vladimir_Nesov
13y
296
26
Naive TDT, Bayes nets, and counterfactual mugging
Stuart_Armstrong
10y
39
20
The Counterfactual Prisoner's Dilemma
Chris_Leong
3y
15
16
The sin of updating when you can change whether you exist
Benya
8y
17
11
Extremely Counterfactual Mugging or: the gist of Transparent Newcomb
Bongo
11y
79
10
Counterfactual Mugging and Logical Uncertainty
Vladimir_Nesov
13y
21
6
Counterfactual Mugging: Why should you pay?
Chris_Leong
3y
59
5
UDT might not pay a Counterfactual Mugger
winwonce
2y
18
5
Hazing as Counterfactual Mugging?
SilasBarta
12y
8
4
Counterfactual mugging: alien abduction edition
Emile
12y
18