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81 posts
Counterfactuals
Counterfactual Mugging
21 posts
Timeless Decision Theory
Past and Future Selves
Interpretive Labor
Perfect Predictor
87
Counterfactual Mugging Poker Game
Scott Garrabrant
4y
2
74
Counterfactual Mugging
Vladimir_Nesov
13y
296
53
My Current Take on Counterfactuals
abramdemski
1y
57
37
Counterfactual outcome state transition parameters
Anders_H
4y
1
37
JFK was not assassinated: prior probability zero events
Stuart_Armstrong
6y
48
37
Two Alternatives to Logical Counterfactuals
jessicata
2y
61
34
Counterfactual resiliency test for non-causal models
Stuart_Armstrong
10y
78
29
Agency and the unreliable autonomous car
Alex Flint
1y
24
28
The Many Faces of Infra-Beliefs
Diffractor
1y
6
28
Counterfactuals, thick and thin
Nisan
4y
11
28
Conditioning, Counterfactuals, Exploration, and Gears
Diffractor
4y
1
27
Deconfusing Logical Counterfactuals
Chris_Leong
3y
16
26
Naive TDT, Bayes nets, and counterfactual mugging
Stuart_Armstrong
10y
39
25
What are some concrete problems about logical counterfactuals?
Chris_Leong
4y
4
122
How I Lost 100 Pounds Using TDT
Zvi
11y
244
58
Two Growth Curves
AnnaSalamon
7y
13
56
Timeless Decision Theory: Problems I Can't Solve
Eliezer Yudkowsky
13y
156
55
Ingredients of Timeless Decision Theory
Eliezer Yudkowsky
13y
227
51
Humans do acausal coordination all the time
Adam Jermyn
1mo
36
44
A problem with Timeless Decision Theory (TDT)
Gary_Drescher
12y
140
35
Decision Theories: A Semi-Formal Analysis, Part III
orthonormal
10y
55
35
Tidying One’s Room
Zvi
4y
3
31
Timeless Decision Theory and Meta-Circular Decision Theory
Eliezer Yudkowsky
13y
37
28
Interpretive Labor
Benquo
4y
41
26
Decision Theories: A Semi-Formal Analysis, Part II
orthonormal
10y
28
25
Culture, interpretive labor, and tidying one's room
Benquo
4y
0
25
Timelessness as a Conservative Extension of Causal Decision Theory
8y
65
23
Long-term Donation Bunching?
jefftk
3y
21