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19 posts
AI Timelines
Crucial Considerations
0 posts
72
Disagreement with bio anchors that lead to shorter timelines
Marius Hobbhahn
1mo
16
287
Two-year update on my personal AI timelines
Ajeya Cotra
4mo
60
107
How might we align transformative AI if it’s developed very soon?
HoldenKarnofsky
3mo
17
164
Deepmind's Gato: Generalist Agent
Daniel Kokotajlo
7mo
61
45
A review of the Bio-Anchors report
jylin04
2mo
4
44
AGI Timelines Are Mostly Not Strategically Relevant To Alignment
johnswentworth
3mo
35
137
Comments on Carlsmith's “Is power-seeking AI an existential risk?”
So8res
1y
13
212
Fun with +12 OOMs of Compute
Daniel Kokotajlo
1y
78
255
Are we in an AI overhang?
Andy Jones
2y
109
69
A comment on Ajeya Cotra's draft report on AI timelines
Matthew Barnett
9mo
13
90
Shulman and Yudkowsky on AI progress
Eliezer Yudkowsky
1y
16
207
Draft report on AI timelines
Ajeya Cotra
2y
56
34
Grokking “Forecasting TAI with biological anchors”
anson.ho
6mo
0
133
Forecasting Thread: AI Timelines
Amandango
2y
95