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19 posts
AI Timelines
Crucial Considerations
0 posts
60
Disagreement with bio anchors that lead to shorter timelines
Marius Hobbhahn
1mo
16
259
Two-year update on my personal AI timelines
Ajeya Cotra
4mo
60
104
How might we align transformative AI if it’s developed very soon?
HoldenKarnofsky
3mo
17
122
Deepmind's Gato: Generalist Agent
Daniel Kokotajlo
7mo
61
51
AGI Timelines Are Mostly Not Strategically Relevant To Alignment
johnswentworth
3mo
35
28
A review of the Bio-Anchors report
jylin04
2mo
4
158
Comments on Carlsmith's “Is power-seeking AI an existential risk?”
So8res
1y
13
105
Shulman and Yudkowsky on AI progress
Eliezer Yudkowsky
1y
16
71
A comment on Ajeya Cotra's draft report on AI timelines
Matthew Barnett
9mo
13
214
Are we in an AI overhang?
Andy Jones
2y
109
148
Fun with +12 OOMs of Compute
Daniel Kokotajlo
1y
78
156
Draft report on AI timelines
Ajeya Cotra
2y
56
123
Forecasting Thread: AI Timelines
Amandango
2y
95
69
Fractional progress estimates for AI timelines and implied resource requirements
Mark Xu
1y
6