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alive
21 posts
Betting
12 posts
Kelly Criterion
Black Swans
37
Calculating Kelly
abramdemski
1y
18
102
Betting with Mandatory Post-Mortem
abramdemski
2y
14
75
The Kelly Criterion
Zvi
4y
24
9
Ongoing free money at PredictIt
knite
2y
22
28
Bets and updating
Eigil Rischel
3y
3
53
Buy Insurance -- Bet Against Yourself
MBlume
12y
69
17
Who wants to be a Millionaire?
Bucky
3y
1
30
How to place a bet on the end of the world
AllAmericanBreakfast
8mo
13
64
Of arguments and wagers
paulfchristiano
2y
6
78
Even Odds
Scott Garrabrant
8y
47
23
Kelly bettors
DanielFilan
4y
3
68
Mitt Romney's $10,000 bet
MileyCyrus
11y
26
25
Risk aversion does not explain people's betting behaviours
Stuart_Armstrong
10y
36
34
[link] Betting on bad futures
fortyeridania
10y
20
6
AGI as a Black Swan Event
Stephen McAleese
16d
8
106
Tyranny of the Epistemic Majority
Scott Garrabrant
28d
9
88
Kelly *is* (just) about logarithmic utility
abramdemski
1y
20
14
Notes on Caution
David Gross
19d
0
12
Generalized Kelly betting
Linda Linsefors
4y
5
61
The Art of the Overbet
Zvi
4y
6
56
Kelly Bet or Update?
abramdemski
2y
23
14
Kelly Criteria and Two Envelopes
Wei_Dai
10y
1
45
How to Understand and Mitigate Risk
Matt Goldenberg
3y
30
19
Kelly Betting Discussion
Raemon
1y
1
47
The Kelly Criterion in 3D
lsusr
1y
17
12
[Discussion] The Kelly criterion and consequences for decision making under uncertainty
Metus
9y
15