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84 posts
AI Timelines
15 posts
Agent Foundations
Dialogue (format)
134
Updating my AI timelines
Matthew Barnett
15d
40
27
How important are accurate AI timelines for the optimal spending schedule on AI risk interventions?
Tristan Cook
4d
2
269
Why I think strong general AI is coming soon
porby
2mo
126
155
Planes are still decades away from displacing most bird jobs
guzey
25d
13
51
Human-level Diplomacy was my fire alarm
Lao Mein
27d
15
8
Benchmarks for Comparing Human and AI Intelligence
ViktorThink
9d
4
72
Disagreement with bio anchors that lead to shorter timelines
Marius Hobbhahn
1mo
16
287
Two-year update on my personal AI timelines
Ajeya Cotra
4mo
60
-4
AGI in our lifetimes is wishful thinking
niknoble
1mo
21
11
Is the speed of training large models going to increase significantly in the near future due to Cerebras Andromeda?
Amal
1mo
11
12
Foresight for AGI Safety Strategy: Mitigating Risks and Identifying Golden Opportunities
jacquesthibs
15d
4
38
Has anyone increased their AGI timelines?
Darren McKee
1mo
13
50
Human-level Full-Press Diplomacy (some bare facts).
Cleo Nardo
28d
7
44
AGI Timelines Are Mostly Not Strategically Relevant To Alignment
johnswentworth
3mo
35
53
Clarifying the Agent-Like Structure Problem
johnswentworth
2mo
14
21
You won’t solve alignment without agent foundations
Mikhail Samin
1mo
3
23
Bridging Expected Utility Maximization and Optimization
Whispermute
4mo
5
65
Prize and fast track to alignment research at ALTER
Vanessa Kosoy
3mo
4
247
Why Agent Foundations? An Overly Abstract Explanation
johnswentworth
9mo
54
15
Re: Second-Order Logic: The Controversy
abramdemski
9y
7
2
Does agent foundations cover all future ML systems?
Jonas Hallgren
4mo
0
72
Challenges with Breaking into MIRI-Style Research
Chris_Leong
11mo
15
54
Security Mindset and Takeoff Speeds
DanielFilan
2y
23
52
S.E.A.R.L.E's COBOL room
Stuart_Armstrong
9y
36
36
Math is Subjunctively Objective
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
118
53
Three Dialogues on Identity
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
47
37
Zeno walks into a bar
lsusr
3y
4
59
Another take on agent foundations: formalizing zero-shot reasoning
zhukeepa
4y
20