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84 posts
AI Timelines
15 posts
Agent Foundations
Dialogue (format)
134
Updating my AI timelines
Matthew Barnett
15d
40
27
How important are accurate AI timelines for the optimal spending schedule on AI risk interventions?
Tristan Cook
4d
2
155
Planes are still decades away from displacing most bird jobs
guzey
25d
13
269
Why I think strong general AI is coming soon
porby
2mo
126
72
Disagreement with bio anchors that lead to shorter timelines
Marius Hobbhahn
1mo
16
51
Human-level Diplomacy was my fire alarm
Lao Mein
27d
15
50
Human-level Full-Press Diplomacy (some bare facts).
Cleo Nardo
28d
7
287
Two-year update on my personal AI timelines
Ajeya Cotra
4mo
60
217
What do ML researchers think about AI in 2022?
KatjaGrace
4mo
33
8
Benchmarks for Comparing Human and AI Intelligence
ViktorThink
9d
4
12
Foresight for AGI Safety Strategy: Mitigating Risks and Identifying Golden Opportunities
jacquesthibs
15d
4
38
Has anyone increased their AGI timelines?
Darren McKee
1mo
13
107
How might we align transformative AI if it’s developed very soon?
HoldenKarnofsky
3mo
17
195
A concrete bet offer to those with short AI timelines
Matthew Barnett
8mo
104
247
Why Agent Foundations? An Overly Abstract Explanation
johnswentworth
9mo
54
65
Prize and fast track to alignment research at ALTER
Vanessa Kosoy
3mo
4
53
Clarifying the Agent-Like Structure Problem
johnswentworth
2mo
14
21
You won’t solve alignment without agent foundations
Mikhail Samin
1mo
3
72
Challenges with Breaking into MIRI-Style Research
Chris_Leong
11mo
15
23
Bridging Expected Utility Maximization and Optimization
Whispermute
4mo
5
54
Security Mindset and Takeoff Speeds
DanielFilan
2y
23
59
Another take on agent foundations: formalizing zero-shot reasoning
zhukeepa
4y
20
37
Zeno walks into a bar
lsusr
3y
4
2
Does agent foundations cover all future ML systems?
Jonas Hallgren
4mo
0
52
S.E.A.R.L.E's COBOL room
Stuart_Armstrong
9y
36
20
My take on agent foundations: formalizing metaphilosophical competence
zhukeepa
4y
6
53
Three Dialogues on Identity
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
47
36
Math is Subjunctively Objective
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
118