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84 posts
AI Timelines
15 posts
Agent Foundations
Dialogue (format)
33
How important are accurate AI timelines for the optimal spending schedule on AI risk interventions?
Tristan Cook
4d
2
125
Updating my AI timelines
Matthew Barnett
15d
40
182
Planes are still decades away from displacing most bird jobs
guzey
25d
13
394
Why I think strong general AI is coming soon
porby
2mo
126
88
Disagreement with bio anchors that lead to shorter timelines
Marius Hobbhahn
1mo
16
67
Human-level Full-Press Diplomacy (some bare facts).
Cleo Nardo
28d
7
332
Two-year update on my personal AI timelines
Ajeya Cotra
4mo
60
25
Foresight for AGI Safety Strategy: Mitigating Risks and Identifying Golden Opportunities
jacquesthibs
15d
4
48
Human-level Diplomacy was my fire alarm
Lao Mein
27d
15
13
Benchmarks for Comparing Human and AI Intelligence
ViktorThink
9d
4
239
What do ML researchers think about AI in 2022?
KatjaGrace
4mo
33
44
Has anyone increased their AGI timelines?
Darren McKee
1mo
13
117
How might we align transformative AI if it’s developed very soon?
HoldenKarnofsky
3mo
17
80
Two reasons we might be closer to solving alignment than it seems
KatWoods
2mo
8
314
Why Agent Foundations? An Overly Abstract Explanation
johnswentworth
9mo
54
91
Prize and fast track to alignment research at ALTER
Vanessa Kosoy
3mo
4
33
You won’t solve alignment without agent foundations
Mikhail Samin
1mo
3
64
Clarifying the Agent-Like Structure Problem
johnswentworth
2mo
14
87
Challenges with Breaking into MIRI-Style Research
Chris_Leong
11mo
15
24
Bridging Expected Utility Maximization and Optimization
Whispermute
4mo
5
37
Security Mindset and Takeoff Speeds
DanielFilan
2y
23
79
Another take on agent foundations: formalizing zero-shot reasoning
zhukeepa
4y
20
5
Does agent foundations cover all future ML systems?
Jonas Hallgren
4mo
0
34
Zeno walks into a bar
lsusr
3y
4
43
S.E.A.R.L.E's COBOL room
Stuart_Armstrong
9y
36
15
My take on agent foundations: formalizing metaphilosophical competence
zhukeepa
4y
6
46
Three Dialogues on Identity
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
47
36
Math is Subjunctively Objective
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
118