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84 posts
AI Timelines
15 posts
Agent Foundations
Dialogue (format)
394
Why I think strong general AI is coming soon
porby
2mo
126
332
Two-year update on my personal AI timelines
Ajeya Cotra
4mo
60
310
Are we in an AI overhang?
Andy Jones
2y
109
291
Fun with +12 OOMs of Compute
Daniel Kokotajlo
1y
78
273
Draft report on AI timelines
Ajeya Cotra
2y
56
239
What do ML researchers think about AI in 2022?
KatjaGrace
4mo
33
215
Deepmind's Gato: Generalist Agent
Daniel Kokotajlo
7mo
61
209
A concrete bet offer to those with short AI timelines
Matthew Barnett
8mo
104
182
Planes are still decades away from displacing most bird jobs
guzey
25d
13
180
Biology-Inspired AGI Timelines: The Trick That Never Works
Eliezer Yudkowsky
1y
143
175
human psycholinguists: a critical appraisal
nostalgebraist
2y
59
167
Jeff Hawkins on neuromorphic AGI within 20 years
Steven Byrnes
3y
24
159
Contra EY: Can AGI destroy us without trial & error?
Nikita Sokolsky
6mo
76
150
Forecasting Thread: AI Timelines
Amandango
2y
95
314
Why Agent Foundations? An Overly Abstract Explanation
johnswentworth
9mo
54
91
Prize and fast track to alignment research at ALTER
Vanessa Kosoy
3mo
4
87
Challenges with Breaking into MIRI-Style Research
Chris_Leong
11mo
15
79
Another take on agent foundations: formalizing zero-shot reasoning
zhukeepa
4y
20
64
Clarifying the Agent-Like Structure Problem
johnswentworth
2mo
14
46
Three Dialogues on Identity
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
47
43
S.E.A.R.L.E's COBOL room
Stuart_Armstrong
9y
36
37
Security Mindset and Takeoff Speeds
DanielFilan
2y
23
36
Math is Subjunctively Objective
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
118
34
Zeno walks into a bar
lsusr
3y
4
33
You won’t solve alignment without agent foundations
Mikhail Samin
1mo
3
24
Bridging Expected Utility Maximization and Optimization
Whispermute
4mo
5
15
My take on agent foundations: formalizing metaphilosophical competence
zhukeepa
4y
6
9
Re: Second-Order Logic: The Controversy
abramdemski
9y
7